Mon, Nov 4, 2024·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Los Angeles Kings 3, Nashville Predators 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 03 | 212 | 327 |
| NSH | 06 | 07 | 03 | 016 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:24LAKAnze KopitarGWGAssists: Brandt Clarke, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P3 0:35LAKKevin FialaAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–0
- P3 17:02LAKAdrian KempeENAssists: Trevor Lewis, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.71 xG3–0
Penalties (13)
- P1 5:28LAKJoel Edmundson: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:46NSHMark Jankowski: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:36NSHLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:36LAKTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:27LAKKyle Burroughs: Kneeing2 min
- P2 8:27LAKKyle Burroughs: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:27NSHRyan O'Reilly: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:29LAKPhillip Danault: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:29NSHJeremy Lauzon: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:14NSHTommy Novak: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:53NSHGustav Nyquist: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:21LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:26NSHJonathan Marchessault: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Byfield – Laferriere8:25
xG 0.48–0.05 (91%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore8:46
xG 0.56–0.23 (71%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte5:02
xG 0.24–0.17 (58%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Thomas6:08
xG 0.04–0.11 (26%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Spence9:21
xG 0.80–0.15 (85%)attempts 17–7goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Gavrikov10:02
xG 0.19–0.16 (55%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Anderson5:29
xG 0.15–0.14 (52%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestSissons – Smith – L'Heureux4:16
xG 0.36–0.04 (90%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Marchessault – Jankowski – Novak3:26
xG 0.16–0.02 (88%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Jankowski – Novak – Evangelista2:05
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Stamkos – Marchessault – Parssinen3:06
xG 0.01–0.24 (4%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLauzon – Carrier9:50
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
- Josi – Del Gaizo3:17
xG 0.09–0.03 (78%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Schenn – Del Gaizo8:51
xG 0.11–0.32 (25%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).