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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 7, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 4, Ottawa Senators 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 58% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Pageau, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 0:41Shot by Dobson, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 1:26Shot by Jensen, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 4:21Shot by Nelson, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Palmieri, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 5:17Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Forsberg
  8. P1 7:14Gregor: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Gregor, Norris, Sanderson, Zub · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Cholowski, Hutton, Tsyplakov

  9. P1 11:11Hutton: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Gaudette, MacEwen, Sanderson, Zub · NYI Martin, Cholowski, Hutton, Wahlstrom, MacLean

  10. P1 12:01Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov5v4
  11. P1 12:17Shot by Batherson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  12. P1 15:24Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 16:00Shot by Gaudette, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 16:04Sanderson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Gaudette, Gregor, Kleven, Sanderson · NYI Martin, Mayfield, Pulock, Wahlstrom, MacLean

  15. P1 16:50Holmstrom: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Tkachuk, Greig · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Dobson, Holmstrom, Tsyplakov

  16. P1 17:32Shot by Dobson, saved by Forsberg4v4
  17. P1 18:06Shot by Kleven, saved by Varlamov5v4
  18. P1 19:50Shot by Cholowski, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Forsberg
  22. P2 1:55Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Forsberg
  23. P2 2:44Shot by Cousins, saved by Varlamov
  24. P2 2:46Shot by MacEwen, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 3:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Forsberg
  26. P2 3:31Shot by Pageau, saved by Forsberg
  27. P2 4:02Shot by Giroux, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 4:56Shot by Sanderson, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 6:13Shot by Palmieri, saved by Forsberg
  30. P2 6:36Shot by Zub, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 6:55Shot by MacEwen, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 7:30Shot by Batherson, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 7:35Shot by Jensen, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 7:41Shot by Jensen, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 8:00Shot by Stützle, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 8:01Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 9:19Shot by Lee, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 10:51Shot by Dobson, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 11:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 11:49Shot by Greig, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 14:10Shot by Engvall, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 15:10Shot by Nelson, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 15:49Goal by Lee (Horvat, Pulock)+26 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Horvat, Pulock

  44. P2 17:17Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 18:22Goal by Pageau (Horvat, Lee)+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Horvat, Pulock

  46. P2 19:50Shot by Cousins, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:30Shot by Lee, saved by Forsberg
  50. P3 1:06Shot by Greig, saved by Varlamov
  51. P3 2:15Shot by Engvall, saved by Forsberg
  52. P3 2:41Goal by Wahlstrom (Martin, MacLean)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Amadio, Gregor, Kleven, Ostapchuk · NYI Martin, Mayfield, Cholowski, Wahlstrom, MacLean

  53. P3 4:48Shot by Engvall, saved by Forsberg
  54. P3 6:15Shot by Jensen, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 7:29Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  56. P3 7:43Goal by Jensen (Chabot, Stützle)+5 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Stützle · NYI Lee, Pageau, Horvat, Dobson, George

  57. P3 7:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 11:15Shot by Ostapchuk, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 13:18Shot by Nelson, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 13:35Tsyplakov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Gaudette, Batherson · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, Hutton, Tsyplakov

  61. P3 14:27Goal by Batherson (Stützle, Sanderson)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · NYI Cizikas, Hutton, Dobson, MacLean

  62. P3 14:58Nelson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Greig · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, George, Tsyplakov

  63. P3 14:58Norris: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Chabot, Norris, Tkachuk, Greig · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pulock, George, Tsyplakov

  64. P3 15:06Shot by Jensen, saved by Varlamov4v4
  65. P3 18:53Shot by Giroux, saved by Varlamov6v5
  66. P3 19:10Shot by Norris, saved by Varlamov6v5
  67. P3 19:50Goal by Horvat (Mayfield)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Gaudette, Norris, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Horvat, Dobson

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final