Thu, Nov 7, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Montréal Canadiens 3, New Jersey Devils 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 07 | 28 | 19 | 324 |
| NJD | 28 | 19 | 210 | 527 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:33NJDJesper BrattAssists: Jack Hughes, Dougie Hamilton · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 12:38NJDOndrej PalatAssists: Jack Hughes · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 5:00MTLAlex NewhookAssists: Jake Evans, Jayden Struble · Snap, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 10:20NJDJonas SiegenthalerAssists: Erik Haula, Paul Cotter · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P2 19:01MTLBrendan GallagherAssists: Josh Anderson, Christian Dvorak · Snap, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 6:23NJDJack HughesGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–4
- P3 8:13MTLAlex NewhookAssists: Kaiden Guhle · Wrist, 0.13 xG3–4
- P3 19:34NJDJesper BrattENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.78 xG3–5
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:48NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Tripping2 min
- P1 6:45NJDJesper Bratt: Interference2 min
- P1 18:50MTLKaiden Guhle: Interference2 min
- P3 10:04MTLJuraj Slafkovský: Holding2 min
- P3 13:57MTLMike Matheson: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Suzuki
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Armia – Heineman – Condotta5:05
xG 0.32–0.39 (45%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Suzuki – Dach – Caufield12:08
xG 0.24–0.32 (43%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Evans – Newhook – Slafkovský10:17
xG 0.27–0.35 (43%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Gallagher – Anderson – Dvorak8:55
xG 0.49–0.87 (36%)attempts 13–12goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestGuhle – Hutson2:05
xG 0.29–0.01 (98%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Savard – Xhekaj3:20
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Struble – Hutson6:09
xG 0.31–0.24 (56%)attempts 10–4goals 0–1
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hughes10:31
xG 0.86–0.30 (74%)attempts 18–7goals 2–1
- Tatar – Dowling – MacDermid3:50
xG 0.28–0.17 (62%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer10:32
xG 0.22–0.26 (45%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Haula – Noesen – Cotter10:14
xG 0.38–0.47 (45%)attempts 4–11goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestPesce – Hughes13:50
xG 0.81–0.44 (65%)attempts 9–14goals 1–0
- Dillon – Hamilton12:20
xG 0.79–0.48 (62%)attempts 15–11goals 1–1
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic15:01
xG 0.60–0.36 (63%)attempts 12–11goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).