Thu, Nov 7, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 4, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 110 | 17 | 27 | 424 |
| LAK | 17 | 010 | 111 | 228 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:43LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Alex Laferriere, Warren Foegele · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 14:20VANConor GarlandPPUnassisted · Other, 1.00 xG1–1
- P2 5:51VANJake DeBruskAssists: Quinn Hughes, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–1
- P3 2:44VANQuinn HughesGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
- P3 13:57LAKVladislav GavrikovAssists: Trevor Moore, Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–2
- P3 18:46VANJ.T. MillerENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.34 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:53LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:54VANNils Hoglander: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:44LAKTanner Jeannot: Match penalty5 min · PPG
- P1 15:29VANJake DeBrusk: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 7:48LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:48VANKiefer Sherwood: Embellishment2 min
- P2 10:41VANFilip Hronek: Tripping2 min
- P2 19:45VANFilip Hronek: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:43VANQuinn Hughes: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:43LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – DeBrusk – Hoglander5:50
xG 0.51–0.24 (68%)attempts 9–11goals 1–1
- Garland – Pettersson – Suter8:12
xG 0.36–0.10 (79%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Blueger – Heinen – Sherwood6:55
xG 0.52–0.26 (67%)attempts 10–7goals 0–1
- Sprong – Hoglander – Räty2:00
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes12:13
xG 0.79–0.08 (91%)attempts 15–7goals 2–0
- Myers – Soucy10:10
xG 0.26–0.06 (81%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Desharnais – Brannstrom9:05
xG 0.61–0.57 (52%)attempts 10–13goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Danault – Moore2:29
xG 0.14–0.01 (91%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Foegele – Byfield – Laferriere6:08
xG 0.31–0.31 (50%)attempts 9–8goals 1–0
- Lewis – Thomas – Lee2:21
xG 0.00–0.05 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–1
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe10:36
xG 0.07–0.49 (12%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Spence4:30
xG 0.20–0.14 (59%)attempts 2–7goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Clarke3:31
xG 0.08–0.06 (59%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Spence2:47
xG 0.00–0.04 (2%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).