Sun, Nov 10, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
San Jose Sharks 1, New Jersey Devils 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 112 | 010 | 05 | 127 |
| NJD | 010 | 015 | 019 | 044 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:21SJSNico SturmGWGAssists: Carl Grundstrom, Henry Thrun · Backhand, 0.02 xG1–0
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:14NJDBrenden Dillon: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:16SJSTimothy Liljegren: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:32NJDOndrej Palat: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:14NJDErik Haula: Illegal check to head2 min
- P3 16:28SJSMario Ferraro: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Granlund won the faceoff against Hughes
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Zetterlund – Eklund11:27
xG 0.49–0.39 (56%)attempts 19–15goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Smith – Sturm5:09
xG 0.09–0.17 (34%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Dellandrea – Celebrini12:19
xG 0.20–0.47 (31%)attempts 8–13goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Wennberg – Kunin9:07
xG 0.30–0.63 (33%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Thrun13:31
xG 0.76–0.45 (63%)attempts 16–21goals 1–0
- Thrun – Thompson2:05
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Thrun2:37
xG 0.12–0.16 (42%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Noesen – Cotter6:52
xG 0.53–0.02 (97%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Tatar – Dowling – MacDermid4:38
xG 0.30–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hughes10:08
xG 0.45–0.33 (58%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer12:05
xG 0.43–1.24 (26%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Hamilton14:44
xG 1.52–0.78 (66%)attempts 30–20goals 0–1
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic12:57
xG 0.34–0.24 (58%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Pesce – Hughes15:33
xG 0.27–0.77 (26%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).