Sun, Nov 10, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Anaheim Ducks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 113 | 011 | 116 | 240 |
| ANA | 19 | 17 | 214 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:13ANABrett LeasonAssists: Cutter Gauthier, Ross Johnston · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 16:16CBJEgor ChinakhovPPAssists: Zach Werenski, Kirill Marchenko · Slap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 4:22ANAJackson LaCombeAssists: Radko Gudas, Troy Terry · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 10:20ANALeo CarlssonGWGAssists: Brian Dumoulin, Ryan Strome · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 16:57CBJKirill MarchenkoUnassisted · Snap, 0.16 xG2–3
- P3 18:20ANAIsac LundeströmENAssists: Frank Vatrano, Brock McGinn · Wrist, 0.81 xG2–4
Penalties (4)
- P1 12:22CBJJustin Danforth: Slashing2 min
- P1 15:47ANAAlex Killorn: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:50ANATrevor Zegras: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:15CBJMathieu Olivier: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Monahan won the faceoff against Lundeström
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Kuraly – Aston-Reese7:02
xG 0.43–0.30 (59%)attempts 9–7goals 0–1
- Monahan – Marchenko – Fantilli12:46
xG 0.51–0.38 (57%)attempts 19–12goals 0–0
- Olivier – Danforth – Pyyhtia8:58
xG 0.21–0.20 (52%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Voronkov – Chinakhov – Sillinger12:04
xG 0.70–1.04 (40%)attempts 15–17goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Harris10:56
xG 0.67–0.42 (62%)attempts 19–12goals 0–1
- Severson – Provorov2:29
xG 0.28–0.07 (80%)attempts 5–3goals 1–0
- Severson – Werenski18:02
xG 0.71–0.52 (58%)attempts 23–15goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestVatrano – Terry – Zegras16:05
xG 0.99–0.61 (62%)attempts 17–23goals 1–0
- McGinn – Fabbri – Lundeström9:53
xG 0.44–0.38 (53%)attempts 10–17goals 0–0
- Johnston – Leason – Gauthier6:20
xG 0.31–0.40 (43%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Killorn – Strome – Carlsson10:42
xG 0.24–0.61 (28%)attempts 12–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLaCombe – Zellweger2:14
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Mintyukov15:50
xG 0.72–0.77 (48%)attempts 21–22goals 2–1
- Vaakanainen – Zellweger9:44
xG 0.14–0.24 (37%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).