Tue, Nov 12, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Seattle Kraken 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 218 | 08 | 014 | 240 |
| SEA | 06 | 420 | 17 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:46CBJSean KuralyAssists: Zachary Aston-Reese, Kevin Labanc · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–0
- P1 14:08CBJZachary Aston-ReeseAssists: Sean Kuraly, Kevin Labanc · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 2:50SEATye KartyeAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Yanni Gourde · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 7:13SEABrandon TanevUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- P2 7:23SEAEeli TolvanenPPGWGAssists: Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–3
- P2 13:34SEAWill BorgenAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–4
- P3 18:42SEAJared McCannENAssists: Jordan Eberle, Ryker Evans · Wrist, 0.55 xG2–5
Penalties (4)
- P2 7:17CBJKevin Labanc: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:57SEAOliver Bjorkstrand: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 17:38CBJIvan Provorov: Interference2 min
- P3 2:53CBJDante Fabbro: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Fantilli
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestOlivier – Danforth – Pyyhtia10:15
xG 0.78–0.45 (63%)attempts 21–10goals 0–3
- Kuraly – Labanc – Aston-Reese8:26
xG 0.31–0.05 (86%)attempts 8–4goals 2–0
- Monahan – Marchenko – Voronkov11:07
xG 0.73–0.65 (53%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Chinakhov – Sillinger – Fantilli10:18
xG 0.40–0.34 (54%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Provorov14:47
xG 1.01–0.49 (67%)attempts 19–16goals 0–2
- Johnson – Christiansen9:37
xG 0.57–0.16 (79%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Werenski – Christiansen2:51
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Gourde – Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen2:03
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Gourde – Tanev – Kartye9:31
xG 0.15–0.24 (39%)attempts 6–19goals 1–1
- Burakovsky – Tolvanen – Wright9:38
xG 0.43–0.55 (44%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers10:47
xG 0.30–0.61 (33%)attempts 7–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Montour17:05
xG 0.62–0.46 (58%)attempts 18–20goals 0–0
- Larsson – Evans17:01
xG 0.73–1.02 (42%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
- Borgen – Mahura12:32
xG 0.44–0.92 (32%)attempts 10–19goals 2–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).