Fri, Nov 15, 2024·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Utah Hockey Club 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 09 | 19 | 311 | 429 |
| UTA | 116 | 110 | 06 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:16UTALogan CooleyAssists: Matias Maccelli, Dylan Guenther · Slap, 0.13 xG0–1
- P2 6:59UTAMikhail SergachevPPAssists: Clayton Keller, Alexander Kerfoot · Snap, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 13:37VGKTomas HertlPPAssists: Nicolas Roy, Jack Eichel · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 8:23VGKTomas HertlPPAssists: William Karlsson, Jack Eichel · Snap, 0.25 xG2–2
- P3 18:42VGKWilliam KarlssonGWGAssists: Kaedan Korczak, Cole Schwindt · Tip-in, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 19:31VGKWilliam KarlssonENUnassisted · Backhand, 0.82 xG4–2
Penalties (10)
- P2 6:34VGKNoah Hanifin: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 9:02UTAMaveric Lamoureux: Interference2 min
- P2 12:05UTAMichael Kesselring: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 17:00VGKNicolas Roy: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:03VGKZach Whitecloud: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 4:18VGKNicolas Roy: Instigator2 min
- P3 4:18UTAIan Cole: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 4:18VGKNicolas Roy: Fighting5 min
- P3 4:18VGKNicolas Roy: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P3 7:29UTAMaveric Lamoureux: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hayton won the faceoff against Roy
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestPearson – Kolesar – Howden2:17
xG 0.29–0.03 (92%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Barbashev – Eichel – Dorofeyev5:17
xG 0.64–0.40 (61%)attempts 7–12goals 0–1
- Hertl – Eichel – Dorofeyev3:04
xG 0.18–0.06 (74%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Karlsson – Howden – Holtz5:28
xG 0.10–0.28 (26%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Korczak6:54
xG 0.57–0.07 (89%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Theodore7:46
xG 0.80–0.50 (61%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
- Hanifin – Whitecloud5:37
xG 0.25–0.42 (38%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Utah Hockey Club
Forward lines
- bestStenlund – Carcone – McBain10:37
xG 0.79–0.19 (80%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Schmaltz – Keller12:19
xG 0.74–0.50 (60%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Kerfoot – Crouse – Hayton7:47
xG 0.41–0.36 (53%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Maccelli – Guenther – Cooley9:57
xG 0.39–1.03 (27%)attempts 22–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestVälimäki – Kesselring9:09
xG 1.12–0.38 (75%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
- Maatta – Sergachev14:30
xG 0.82–0.81 (50%)attempts 25–8goals 1–0
- Cole – Lamoureux13:28
xG 0.54–0.59 (48%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
UTA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line UTA is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (UTA − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).