Mon, Nov 18, 2024·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Boston Bruins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 311 | 04 | 213 | 528 |
| BOS | 011 | 110 | 08 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:17CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Sean Monahan, Dante Fabbro · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 10:39CBJMathieu OlivierSHGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.25 xG2–0
- P1 19:28CBJJames van RiemsdykAssists: Zach Werenski, Adam Fantilli · Wrist, 0.22 xG3–0
- P2 14:30BOSCharlie CoylePPAssists: Justin Brazeau, Mason Lohrei · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–1
- P3 7:19CBJJustin DanforthSHAssists: Cole Sillinger · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–1
- P3 14:10CBJEgor ChinakhovAssists: Sean Monahan · Wrist, 0.12 xG5–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:12CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:12BOSJeffrey Viel: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:41CBJZach Werenski: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:53BOSJeffrey Viel: Boarding2 min
- P1 12:53CBJMathieu Olivier: Roughing removing opponents helmet2 min
- P2 0:08BOSCharlie McAvoy: Interference2 min
- P2 1:33CBJKirill Marchenko: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:51CBJDante Fabbro: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:06CBJIvan Provorov: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 18:36CBJDmitri Voronkov: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:45BOSCharlie McAvoy: Holding2 min
- P3 6:58CBJMathieu Olivier: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Monahan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Labanc – Fantilli8:33
xG 0.48–0.19 (72%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Monahan – Marchenko – Voronkov9:30
xG 0.20–0.25 (44%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
- Olivier – Chinakhov – Sillinger7:11
xG 0.06–0.25 (21%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Danforth – Aston-Reese8:48
xG 0.36–0.61 (38%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestProvorov – Fabbro13:50
xG 0.75–0.28 (72%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Christiansen – Jiricek6:02
xG 0.05–0.33 (14%)attempts 1–9goals 0–0
- Severson – Werenski14:45
xG 0.42–0.89 (32%)attempts 13–15goals 1–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Frederic – Merkulov7:31
xG 0.56–0.06 (91%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Marchand – Lindholm – Brazeau7:34
xG 0.15–0.14 (52%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Johnson – Viel – Beecher6:18
xG 0.04–0.37 (10%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Geekie5:56
xG 0.04–0.47 (8%)attempts 5–8goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestZadorov – Peeke13:39
xG 0.67–0.24 (73%)attempts 22–6goals 0–0
- Oesterle – Carlo4:13
xG 0.34–0.17 (67%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Oesterle – McAvoy10:09
xG 0.23–0.20 (53%)attempts 13–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).