Tue, Nov 19, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
New York Rangers 4, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 215 | 110 | 18 | 433 |
| VAN | 29 | 18 | 07 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:34VANQuinn HughesAssists: Filip Hronek, Elias Pettersson · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 2:31NYRMika ZibanejadAssists: K'Andre Miller, Adam Fox · Tip-in, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 14:38NYRWill CuylleAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P1 17:39VANKiefer SherwoodAssists: Elias Pettersson, Carson Soucy · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–2
- P2 8:45NYRKaapo KakkoAssists: Will Cuylle, Jonny Brodzinski · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–2
- P2 13:02VANConor GarlandAssists: Dakota Joshua, Pius Suter · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–3
- P3 10:43NYRChris KreiderGWGAssists: Reilly Smith, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 8:20VANDakota Joshua: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:07NYRSam Carrick: High sticking2 min
- P2 3:33VANNils Hoglander: Interference2 min
- P2 6:23NYRBraden Schneider: Illegal check to head2 min
- P2 15:05VANFilip Hronek: Elbowing2 min
- P2 15:05NYRZac Jones: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:34NYRVincent Trocheck: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestBrodzinski – Kakko – Cuylle9:43
xG 0.45–0.17 (73%)attempts 11–6goals 2–0
- Kreider – Smith – Zibanejad10:02
xG 0.38–0.18 (68%)attempts 11–6goals 2–2
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière12:08
xG 0.64–0.53 (55%)attempts 18–9goals 0–1
- Carrick – Vesey – Edstrom7:24
xG 0.13–0.08 (60%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestTrouba – Lindgren14:39
xG 0.69–0.32 (68%)attempts 22–10goals 2–3
- Fox – Miller12:48
xG 0.61–0.24 (71%)attempts 15–6goals 2–0
- Jones – Schneider10:51
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 5–11goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrusk – Pettersson – Sherwood11:23
xG 0.61–0.27 (70%)attempts 12–8goals 2–1
- Hoglander – Räty – Bains7:11
xG 0.19–0.32 (38%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Joshua – Garland – Suter10:28
xG 0.12–0.28 (30%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
- Blueger – Heinen – Lekkerimäki7:38
xG 0.01–0.40 (1%)attempts 3–13goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Juulsen – Brannstrom10:59
xG 0.20–0.22 (47%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Hronek – Hughes16:23
xG 0.41–0.63 (39%)attempts 12–16goals 2–1
- Myers – Soucy11:23
xG 0.07–0.61 (10%)attempts 4–17goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).