Thu, Nov 21, 2024·TD Garden, Boston
Utah Hockey Club 0, Boston Bruins 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 06 | 09 | 07 | 022 |
| BOS | 015 | 111 | 05 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 12:41BOSElias LindholmPPGWGAssists: Brad Marchand, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.32 xG0–1
Penalties (15)
- P1 6:17BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:17UTARobert Bortuzzo: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:18UTALawson Crouse: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:16BOSMorgan Geekie: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:02UTAJack McBain: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:37UTALogan Cooley: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:37UTAJack McBain: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:29BOSCharlie Coyle: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:20UTALogan Cooley: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 12:55BOSMark Kastelic: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:55UTARobert Bortuzzo: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:55BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:54UTAMichael Kesselring: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:04BOSCole Koepke: Slashing2 min
- P3 18:22UTAKevin Stenlund: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Cooley
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Utah Hockey Club
Forward lines
- bestKerfoot – Schmaltz – Hayton4:12
xG 0.26–0.09 (74%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- McBain – Guenther – Cooley2:35
xG 0.19–0.03 (85%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Bjugstad – Crouse – Maccelli2:05
xG 0.10–0.00 (97%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Keller – Hayton4:13
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBortuzzo – Kesselring5:22
xG 0.33–0.12 (73%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Cole – Lamoureux10:30
xG 0.44–0.32 (58%)attempts 16–7goals 0–0
- Maatta – Lamoureux2:24
xG 0.11–0.03 (78%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestKastelic – Koepke – Beecher3:56
xG 0.31–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Marchand – Lindholm – Brazeau7:15
xG 0.23–0.18 (56%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Geekie7:04
xG 0.19–0.17 (53%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Coyle – Frederic – Merkulov6:03
xG 0.06–0.16 (27%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCarlo – Wotherspoon9:11
xG 0.38–0.26 (59%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Zadorov – Peeke11:19
xG 0.44–0.46 (49%)attempts 8–17goals 0–0
- McAvoy – Lohrei11:56
xG 0.07–0.14 (33%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it UTA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − UTA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).