Thu, Nov 21, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
San Jose Sharks 2, St. Louis Blues 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 17 | 06 | 19 | 02 | 0 | 224 |
| STL | 115 | 16 | 09 | 01 | 1 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:11STLNathan WalkerAssists: Radek Faksa · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–1
- P1 8:23SJSAlexander WennbergPPAssists: Mikael Granlund, Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 11:47STLJordan KyrouAssists: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, Robert Thomas · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–2
- P3 19:51SJSAlexander WennbergAssists: Mikael Granlund, Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. STL Brayden Schenn stopped
- 2. SJS Mikael Granlund stopped
- 3. STL Jordan Kyrou stopped
- 4. SJS Macklin Celebrini stopped
- 5. STL Jake Neighbours scored
- 6. SJS William Eklund stopped
Penalties (3)
- P1 6:02STLZachary Bolduc: Interference2 min
- P1 7:21STLRadek Faksa: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 12:09SJSKlim Kostin: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Faksa won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Goodrow – Celebrini12:52
xG 0.50–0.21 (70%)attempts 18–8goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Smith – Dellandrea5:17
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Kunin – Kostin10:41
xG 0.11–0.51 (17%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
- Granlund – Zetterlund – Eklund13:10
xG 0.12–0.54 (19%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Liljegren – Thompson2:58
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Rutta5:46
xG 0.07–0.08 (46%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Rutta – Thompson9:12
xG 0.03–0.17 (16%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSchenn – Saad – Neighbours11:58
xG 0.50–0.12 (81%)attempts 16–10goals 0–0
- Joseph – Holloway – Bolduc8:20
xG 0.33–0.00 (99%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Buchnevich – Kyrou – Thomas15:24
xG 0.76–0.44 (63%)attempts 18–10goals 1–0
- Faksa – Walker – Toropchenko8:43
xG 0.23–0.09 (72%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFaulk – Perunovich10:10
xG 0.84–0.07 (92%)attempts 17–3goals 0–0
- Joseph – Schueneman7:35
xG 0.37–0.01 (97%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Faulk – Joseph7:08
xG 0.35–0.21 (62%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).