Sat, Nov 23, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 17 | 07 | 00 | 221 |
| PHI | 010 | 014 | 212 | 11 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:29CHILukas ReichelAssists: Patrick Maroon, Connor Murphy · Snap, 0.19 xG1–0
- P2 10:01CHIPatrick MaroonAssists: Craig Smith, Lukas Reichel · Backhand, 0.05 xG2–0
- P3 7:27PHISean CouturierAssists: Rasmus Ristolainen, Travis Konecny · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 10:05PHINoah CatesAssists: Bobby Brink, Tyson Foerster · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- OT 1:06PHIMatvei MichkovPPGWGAssists: Travis Konecny, Travis Sanheim · Snap, 0.34 xG2–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 2:19PHICam York: Holding2 min
- P1 0:00CHINolan Allan: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:40CHINolan Allan: Cross checking2 min
- OT 0:40CHIAlex Vlasic: Holding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestHall – Teravainen – Bedard8:49
xG 0.55–0.14 (80%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel10:19
xG 0.76–0.58 (57%)attempts 12–15goals 2–0
- Hall – Teravainen – Donato3:36
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Anderson – Bedard3:20
xG 0.00–0.10 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBrodie – Crevier15:42
xG 0.66–0.28 (70%)attempts 19–15goals 0–1
- Murphy – Vlasic18:00
xG 0.88–0.79 (53%)attempts 15–25goals 2–1
- Martinez – Allan14:58
xG 0.15–1.07 (13%)attempts 10–19goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLaughton – Hathaway – Poehling10:14
xG 0.93–0.28 (77%)attempts 15–9goals 0–0
- Couturier – Konecny – Farabee6:06
xG 0.56–0.17 (77%)attempts 13–5goals 1–0
- Couturier – Tippett – Michkov3:07
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Konecny – Frost – Farabee4:07
xG 0.24–0.24 (50%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRistolainen – Andrae8:52
xG 1.01–0.29 (78%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Sanheim – York8:09
xG 0.63–0.40 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–2
- Ristolainen – York8:45
xG 0.25–0.12 (67%)attempts 7–5goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).