Sat, Nov 23, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 1, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 05 | 07 | 18 | 120 |
| LAK | 04 | 212 | 05 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:19LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Alex Turcotte, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 6:03LAKQuinton ByfieldPPGWGAssists: Kevin Fiala, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.06 xG0–2
- P3 18:26SEABrandon MontourAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Yanni Gourde · Slap, 0.03 xG1–2
Penalties (6)
- P2 5:03SEAYanni Gourde: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 12:41LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:41SEATye Kartye: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:16LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P2 17:30LAKJordan Spence: Holding2 min
- P3 16:03LAKAlex Laferriere: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestSchwartz – Stephenson – Sprong10:44
xG 0.65–0.44 (60%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Tanev – Kartye – Meyers5:02
xG 0.21–0.03 (89%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Gourde – Tanev – Kartye2:14
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – McCann – Beniers8:33
xG 0.11–0.47 (19%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Evans17:11
xG 0.48–0.35 (58%)attempts 9–15goals 0–1
- Oleksiak – Montour15:02
xG 0.75–0.72 (51%)attempts 17–15goals 0–0
- Montour – Evans2:07
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Turcotte11:35
xG 0.50–0.10 (83%)attempts 11–3goals 1–0
- Foegele – Byfield – Laferriere10:03
xG 0.62–0.49 (56%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Helenius7:57
xG 0.06–0.11 (34%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore11:32
xG 0.12–0.55 (18%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Anderson17:44
xG 0.77–0.30 (72%)attempts 20–5goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke15:14
xG 0.75–0.68 (52%)attempts 15–15goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Spence2:02
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).