Sat, Nov 23, 2024·Rogers Place, Edmonton
New York Rangers 2, Edmonton Oilers 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 09 | 116 | 19 | 234 |
| EDM | 221 | 210 | 29 | 640 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:34EDMVasily PodkolzinAssists: Leon Draisaitl, Connor Brown · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P1 19:51EDMDarnell NurseSHAssists: Mattias Janmark, Connor Brown · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P2 8:54EDMLeon DraisaitlGWGAssists: Connor McDavid · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–3
- P2 11:58EDMEvan BouchardAssists: Mattias Janmark, Adam Henrique · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–4
- P2 15:02NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–4
- P3 5:49EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Evan Bouchard, Kasperi Kapanen · Tip-in, 0.05 xG1–5
- P3 9:37EDMConnor McDavidAssists: Troy Stecher · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–6
- P3 16:29NYRArtemi PanarinAssists: Alexis Lafrenière · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 18:57EDMBrett Kulak: Holding2 min
- P2 1:36NYRJacob Trouba: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:42EDMDerek Ryan: Slashing2 min
- P2 8:02NYRVincent Trocheck: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:22EDMDerek Ryan: Holding2 min
- P3 13:13NYRRyan Lindgren: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against McDavid
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Kreider – Smith – Zibanejad9:23
xG 0.34–0.37 (48%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Carrick – Vesey – Edstrom8:38
xG 0.20–0.29 (40%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Brodzinski – Kakko – Cuylle10:13
xG 0.33–0.43 (43%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière11:22
xG 0.50–0.69 (42%)attempts 12–10goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Miller16:58
xG 0.59–0.46 (56%)attempts 14–14goals 0–0
- Trouba – Lindgren13:51
xG 0.39–0.71 (36%)attempts 17–15goals 1–1
- Schneider – Mancini14:23
xG 0.40–1.25 (24%)attempts 12–17goals 0–3
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Draisaitl – Podkolzin10:16
xG 0.62–0.25 (71%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Nugent-Hopkins – Kapanen – McDavid10:22
xG 0.75–0.43 (64%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Henrique – Skinner – Janmark8:52
xG 0.38–0.28 (58%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Perry – Ryan – Caggiula7:50
xG 0.05–0.23 (19%)attempts 4–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestKulak – Emberson8:31
xG 0.96–0.35 (74%)attempts 12–8goals 2–0
- Kulak – Nurse8:13
xG 0.29–0.03 (92%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Ekholm – Bouchard13:43
xG 0.74–0.62 (54%)attempts 12–14goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
EDM's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line EDM is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (EDM − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).