Fri, Nov 29, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Seattle Kraken 5, San Jose Sharks 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 315 | 211 | 05 | 531 |
| SJS | 210 | 410 | 27 | 827 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:07SJSTimothy LiljegrenAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Alexander Wennberg · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 3:03SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–1
- P1 16:25SJSKlim KostinAssists: Fabian Zetterlund, William Eklund · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P1 16:58SEAChandler StephensonAssists: Jaden Schwartz · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–2
- P1 19:16SEAShane WrightPPAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
- P2 2:45SJSWill SmithAssists: Mikael Granlund · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–3
- P2 7:20SEAShane WrightPPAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Ryker Evans · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–3
- P2 8:24SJSJake WalmanAssists: William Eklund, Macklin Celebrini · Slap, 0.05 xG4–4
- P2 13:10SJSMikael GranlundAssists: Klim Kostin, Will Smith · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–5
- P2 14:03SJSMacklin CelebriniGWGAssists: Fabian Zetterlund · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–6
- P2 19:43SEAYanni GourdeAssists: Ryker Evans, Brandon Tanev · Wrist, 0.27 xG5–6
- P3 7:37SJSEthan CardwellAssists: Nico Sturm, Henry Thrun · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–7
- P3 15:13SJSJake WalmanENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.26 xG5–8
Penalties (8)
- P1 6:06SJSMario Ferraro: Interference2 min
- P1 9:51SJSTimothy Liljegren: Holding2 min
- P1 14:21SEAChandler Stephenson: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:48SJSCody Ceci: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 3:48SJSJake Walman: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 8:01SJSKlim Kostin: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:01SJSKlim Kostin: Fighting5 min
- P3 8:01SEAWill Borgen: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sturm won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestGourde – Tanev – Kartye11:43
xG 1.02–0.14 (88%)attempts 20–6goals 1–2
- Burakovsky – McCann – Beniers9:56
xG 0.25–0.28 (47%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Wright8:34
xG 0.24–0.35 (41%)attempts 7–10goals 1–1
- Schwartz – Stephenson – Winterton9:38
xG 0.28–0.55 (34%)attempts 7–12goals 1–2
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Evans14:01
xG 1.04–0.51 (67%)attempts 16–13goals 1–2
- Oleksiak – Montour12:37
xG 0.40–0.19 (67%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- Borgen – Mahura11:30
xG 0.33–0.23 (59%)attempts 9–12goals 1–2
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGranlund – Kostin – Smith6:53
xG 0.55–0.17 (76%)attempts 12–4goals 2–1
- Zetterlund – Eklund – Celebrini12:14
xG 0.37–0.46 (45%)attempts 12–14goals 2–1
- Dellandrea – Sturm – Cardwell8:01
xG 0.04–0.29 (12%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Wennberg – Kunin8:50
xG 0.21–0.82 (21%)attempts 11–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Walman12:41
xG 0.35–0.16 (69%)attempts 14–7goals 2–1
- Rutta – Thrun8:54
xG 0.21–0.27 (44%)attempts 9–6goals 2–0
- Ferraro – Rutta2:08
xG 0.03–0.26 (9%)attempts 3–4goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).