Sun, Dec 1, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 6, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 29 | 114 | 313 | 636 |
| CHI | 111 | 110 | 110 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:59CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Ryan Donato, Alex Vlasic · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 4:27CBJIvan ProvorovAssists: Sean Monahan, Damon Severson · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P1 11:23CBJKent JohnsonAssists: Damon Severson, Cole Sillinger · Slap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P2 3:00CHICraig SmithPPAssists: Taylor Hall, Alec Martinez · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 4:50CBJSean MonahanAssists: Sean Kuraly, Zach Werenski · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–2
- P3 3:08CBJDante FabbroGWGAssists: Zach Werenski, Cole Sillinger · Snap, 0.03 xG4–2
- P3 8:08CHINick FolignoPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Connor Bedard · Tip-in, 0.19 xG4–3
- P3 10:52CBJKirill MarchenkoUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG5–3
- P3 18:34CBJDmitri VoronkovENAssists: Damon Severson · Wrist, 0.33 xG6–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:37CBJJames van Riemsdyk: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 1:26CBJDmitri Voronkov: Instigator2 min · PPG
- P2 1:26CHIConnor Murphy: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:26CBJDmitri Voronkov: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:26CBJDmitri Voronkov: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 5:02CHIWyatt Kaiser: Holding2 min
- P2 12:49CBJZach Werenski: Interference2 min
- P3 1:38CHIRyan Donato: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:55CBJKevin Labanc: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:31CBJKirill Marchenko: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 6:40CBJCole Sillinger: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fantilli won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestOlivier – Danforth – Aston-Reese9:41
xG 0.47–0.25 (66%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Sillinger – Fantilli10:30
xG 0.29–0.09 (77%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Monahan – Marchenko – Voronkov9:12
xG 0.28–0.22 (57%)attempts 10–9goals 1–0
- van Riemsdyk – Kuraly – Labanc7:02
xG 0.08–0.38 (17%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarris – Christiansen7:30
xG 0.40–0.09 (82%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Severson – Provorov15:57
xG 0.52–0.29 (65%)attempts 16–7goals 1–0
- Werenski – Fabbro17:25
xG 0.57–0.51 (53%)attempts 15–14goals 2–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestMaroon – Smith – Reichel7:31
xG 0.47–0.12 (79%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Bertuzzi – Donato8:50
xG 0.18–0.20 (47%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Hall – Kurashev – Bedard11:36
xG 0.16–0.23 (41%)attempts 7–7goals 0–1
- Foligno – Dickinson – Mikheyev9:31
xG 0.09–0.24 (28%)attempts 6–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBrodie – Crevier9:37
xG 0.42–0.36 (54%)attempts 7–11goals 0–1
- Martinez – Kaiser11:10
xG 0.13–0.18 (43%)attempts 6–6goals 0–1
- Brodie – Murphy2:22
xG 0.01–0.15 (8%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).