Mon, Dec 2, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
New Jersey Devils 5, New York Rangers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 27 | 318 | 03 | 528 |
| NYR | 012 | 118 | 09 | 139 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:27NJDJesper BrattAssists: Ondrej Palat, Johnathan Kovacevic · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 7:10NJDDawson MercerGWGAssists: Luke Hughes · Snap, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 9:04NJDDougie HamiltonPPAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Slap, 0.26 xG3–0
- P2 12:38NJDJack HughesAssists: Luke Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.19 xG4–0
- P2 13:29NYRChris KreiderPPAssists: Mika Zibanejad, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–1
- P2 18:56NJDJack HughesPPAssists: Jesper Bratt, Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 9:16NJDDougie Hamilton: Interference2 min
- P2 3:10NJDJonas Siegenthaler: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:05NYRReilly Smith: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:44NYRAdam Fox: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:05NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P2 14:01NYRZac Jones: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 18:04NJDJustin Dowling: Interference2 min
- P2 18:04NYRWill Cuylle: Embellishment2 min · PPG
- P2 18:43NYRChris Kreider: Interference2 min
- P2 0:00NJDErik Haula: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Haula won the faceoff against Trocheck
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestDowling – Légaré – Hardman6:52
xG 0.45–0.06 (88%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hughes8:47
xG 1.17–0.81 (59%)attempts 16–16goals 2–0
- Noesen – Meier – Hischier8:38
xG 0.33–0.38 (46%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Haula – Cotter – Mercer10:22
xG 0.35–0.42 (45%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Hamilton10:21
xG 0.89–0.16 (85%)attempts 15–8goals 0–0
- Pesce – Hughes12:30
xG 0.71–0.60 (54%)attempts 14–16goals 2–0
- Dillon – Pesce2:17
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière3:29
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–0goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Kakko – Cuylle7:25
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
- Chytil – Kakko – Cuylle4:09
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Kreider – Smith – Zibanejad9:18
xG 0.41–0.48 (46%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFox – Miller2:09
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Miller – Schneider12:59
xG 0.65–0.78 (45%)attempts 15–16goals 0–3
- Fox – Lindgren13:20
xG 0.58–0.76 (43%)attempts 20–18goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).