Wed, Dec 4, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Boston Bruins 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 17 | 29 | 111 | 427 |
| CHI | 16 | 17 | 09 | 222 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:23CHIAlex VlasicAssists: Nick Foligno, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 12:17BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Justin Brazeau, Jordan Oesterle · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–1
- P2 2:58BOSBrad MarchandAssists: David Pastrnak, Mason Lohrei · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 5:03BOSBrad MarchandGWGAssists: David Pastrnak, Jordan Oesterle · Backhand, 0.06 xG3–1
- P2 18:23CHIJason DickinsonAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 5:02BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Justin Brazeau, Mason Lohrei · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:50CHIConnor Murphy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 13:28BOSJohn Beecher: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:46CHIWyatt Kaiser: Delaying game2 min
- P2 15:08BOSNikita Zadorov: Holding2 min
- P3 9:00CHIIlya Mikheyev: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:16CHIConnor Bedard: High sticking2 min
- P3 18:05CHIRyan Donato: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Frederic won the faceoff against Reichel
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestZacha – Brazeau – Geekie4:30
xG 0.60–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 2–0
- Marchand – Lindholm – Pastrnak6:36
xG 0.44–0.21 (68%)attempts 7–6goals 2–0
- Koepke – Beecher – McLaughlin7:54
xG 0.16–0.06 (74%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Marchand – Lindholm – Brazeau2:04
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOesterle – McAvoy12:49
xG 0.81–0.55 (60%)attempts 17–10goals 2–0
- Peeke – Lohrei8:39
xG 0.41–0.16 (71%)attempts 5–8goals 1–1
- Zadorov – Carlo14:43
xG 0.03–0.17 (13%)attempts 6–8goals 0–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Dickinson – Mikheyev9:51
xG 0.31–0.20 (61%)attempts 8–3goals 2–1
- Teravainen – Donato – Kurashev7:23
xG 0.06–0.16 (28%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel7:33
xG 0.27–0.40 (40%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
- Hall – Bertuzzi – Bedard13:21
xG 0.27–0.57 (32%)attempts 13–14goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestBrodie – Kaiser10:34
xG 0.16–0.04 (79%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Martinez – Allan6:30
xG 0.19–0.13 (59%)attempts 4–5goals 0–1
- Brodie – Allan3:13
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).