Fri, Dec 6, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Seattle Kraken 2, New Jersey Devils 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 15 | 18 | 06 | 219 |
| NJD | 115 | 114 | 17 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:16SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 12:27NJDLuke HughesAssists: Jack Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 3:41SEAShane WrightPPAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Jaden Schwartz · Snap, 0.28 xG2–1
- P2 8:03NJDJesper BrattAssists: Jack Hughes, Brenden Dillon · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 0:53NJDTimo MeierGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 15:47SEAVince Dunn: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:02NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:41SEATye Kartye: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:33NJDTomas Tatar: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stephenson won the faceoff against Haula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- Stephens – Kartye – Winterton7:16
xG 0.14–0.10 (59%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Wright10:11
xG 0.12–0.25 (33%)attempts 8–9goals 0–1
- Schwartz – Burakovsky – Beniers11:46
xG 0.32–0.80 (29%)attempts 10–13goals 1–0
- Stephenson – McCann – Tanev10:15
xG 0.20–0.93 (18%)attempts 8–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Montour15:35
xG 0.56–0.38 (59%)attempts 14–13goals 0–0
- Montour – Dunn4:26
xG 0.05–0.13 (29%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Larsson – Dunn14:08
xG 0.42–1.06 (28%)attempts 17–19goals 1–2
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestNoesen – Meier – Hischier9:51
xG 1.03–0.32 (76%)attempts 19–9goals 1–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hughes10:00
xG 0.55–0.19 (74%)attempts 15–6goals 2–1
- Tatar – Haula – Légaré4:11
xG 0.32–0.06 (85%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Dowling – Cotter – Légaré4:36
xG 0.07–0.01 (91%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDillon – Hamilton14:41
xG 1.33–0.18 (88%)attempts 22–8goals 2–0
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic15:30
xG 0.41–0.36 (53%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Pesce – Hughes15:13
xG 0.73–0.72 (50%)attempts 16–22goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).