Sun, Dec 8, 2024·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Winnipeg Jets 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 012 | 17 | 39 | 428 |
| WPG | 06 | 18 | 011 | 125 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:51WPGKyle ConnorPPAssists: Josh Morrissey, Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 13:53CBJDmitri VoronkovPPAssists: Kirill Marchenko, Zach Werenski · Deflected, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 7:15CBJKent JohnsonGWGAssists: Sean Monahan, James van Riemsdyk · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–1
- P3 9:42CBJKent JohnsonAssists: James van Riemsdyk, Ivan Provorov · Snap, 0.10 xG3–1
- P3 18:38CBJSean KuralyENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.37 xG4–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:51WPGMorgan Barron: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:41CBJJames van Riemsdyk: Tripping2 min
- P1 4:41WPGNeal Pionk: Roughing2 min
- P1 4:41CBJJames van Riemsdyk: Roughing2 min
- P1 11:31CBJDante Fabbro: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:30CBJDamon Severson: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:07CBJJustin Danforth: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 13:02WPGBrad Lambert: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Monahan won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Monahan – Johnson10:08
xG 0.85–0.52 (62%)attempts 15–11goals 2–0
- Marchenko – Voronkov – Fantilli14:15
xG 0.50–0.27 (65%)attempts 13–15goals 0–0
- Olivier – Aston-Reese – Sillinger5:33
xG 0.18–0.03 (87%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Labanc – Danforth7:23
xG 0.01–0.10 (10%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Provorov16:21
xG 0.83–0.32 (72%)attempts 16–13goals 2–0
- Harris – Christiansen10:02
xG 0.23–0.11 (68%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Werenski – Fabbro16:47
xG 0.50–0.83 (38%)attempts 17–27goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestNiederreiter – Lowry – Appleton10:05
xG 0.58–0.15 (79%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Iafallo – Barron – Kupari4:51
xG 0.03–0.09 (27%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Perfetti – Lambert9:12
xG 0.10–0.31 (24%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi13:04
xG 0.40–0.76 (34%)attempts 13–19goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey13:14
xG 0.53–0.34 (60%)attempts 13–11goals 0–1
- Miller – Stanley13:21
xG 0.03–0.46 (7%)attempts 10–15goals 0–0
- Fleury – Pionk12:31
xG 0.12–0.89 (12%)attempts 10–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).