Thu, Dec 12, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Florida Panthers 0, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 07 | 013 | 07 | 027 |
| VAN | 210 | 15 | 14 | 419 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:23VANCarson SoucyGWGAssists: Max Sasson, Teddy Blueger · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 18:41VANDanton HeinenAssists: Max Sasson, Teddy Blueger · Deflected, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 4:53VANBrock BoeserAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–3
- P3 12:55VANJake DeBruskPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, J.T. Miller · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–4
Penalties (5)
- P2 9:15VANKiefer Sherwood: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:00FLAJesper Boqvist: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00VANNoah Juulsen: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:38VANBrock Boeser: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:48FLASam Reinhart: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Barkov won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestBennett – Rodrigues – Tkachuk12:43
xG 0.96–0.63 (60%)attempts 19–9goals 0–2
- Verhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart14:26
xG 0.49–0.17 (75%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Nosek – Greer – Boqvist3:20
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Boqvist – Luostarinen – Lundell8:19
xG 0.15–0.14 (50%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSchmidt – Mikkola5:49
xG 0.59–0.05 (92%)attempts 13–1goals 0–0
- Forsling – Mikkola2:13
xG 0.40–0.03 (94%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Kulikov – Mikkola11:50
xG 0.43–0.18 (71%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Boeser – Hoglander9:38
xG 0.20–0.05 (79%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Joshua – Garland – Suter9:29
xG 0.22–0.10 (70%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Blueger – Heinen – Sasson11:05
xG 0.38–0.39 (49%)attempts 5–13goals 2–0
- DeBrusk – Pettersson – Sherwood9:59
xG 0.12–0.57 (18%)attempts 3–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Myers – Hughes12:37
xG 0.44–0.44 (50%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Forbort – Friedman7:18
xG 0.27–0.28 (49%)attempts 6–7goals 1–0
- Soucy – Juulsen13:14
xG 0.16–0.39 (30%)attempts 3–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).