Thu, Dec 12, 2024·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Boston Bruins 1, Seattle Kraken 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 014 | 111 | 09 | 134 |
| SEA | 27 | 07 | 37 | 521 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:24SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Matty Beniers, Chandler Stephenson · Tip-in, 0.12 xG0–1
- P1 5:14SEAJaden SchwartzGWGAssists: Shane Wright · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 10:28BOSBrad MarchandUnassisted · Backhand, 0.23 xG1–2
- P3 3:07SEAVince DunnAssists: Jared McCann, Andre Burakovsky · Bat, 0.10 xG1–3
- P3 9:16SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Shane Wright, Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–4
- P3 18:06SEAJared McCannENAssists: Brandon Tanev · Wrist, 0.80 xG1–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 0:16BOSDavid Pastrnak: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 3:10BOSTyler Johnson: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:45SEAJaden Schwartz: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:28SEABrandon Montour: Penalty shot covering puck in crease0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wright won the faceoff against Geekie
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Pastrnak – Geekie2:39
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Geekie7:35
xG 0.35–0.18 (66%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Marchand – Pastrnak – Zacha2:25
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–1goals 0–0
- Johnson – Coyle – Frederic5:24
xG 0.23–0.18 (56%)attempts 13–4goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestOesterle – McAvoy13:52
xG 0.76–0.32 (70%)attempts 28–10goals 0–1
- Oesterle – Carlo3:07
xG 0.28–0.07 (81%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Wotherspoon – Peeke14:36
xG 0.36–0.32 (53%)attempts 17–9goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Wright10:14
xG 0.45–0.22 (67%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Sprong – Stephens – Kartye7:18
xG 0.41–0.33 (56%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Burakovsky – McCann10:06
xG 0.62–0.62 (50%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Tanev – Beniers10:34
xG 0.33–0.44 (43%)attempts 8–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn15:55
xG 1.33–0.44 (75%)attempts 25–20goals 1–0
- Montour – Evans2:52
xG 0.14–0.13 (51%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Borgen – Evans13:22
xG 0.33–0.47 (41%)attempts 8–18goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).