Sat, Dec 28, 2024·TD Garden, Boston
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Boston Bruins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 07 | 06 | 05 | 018 |
| BOS | 110 | 211 | 17 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:29BOSJustin BrazeauGWGAssists: Brandon Carlo, Mason Lohrei · Backhand, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 6:29BOSMorgan GeekieUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 8:18BOSDavid PastrnakAssists: Morgan Geekie, Pavel Zacha · Snap, 0.22 xG0–3
- P3 6:06BOSCole KoepkeUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 2:35BOSMark Kastelic: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:35CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:50CBJDmitri Voronkov: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:36BOSMark Kastelic: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 6:43BOSNikita Zadorov: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:43CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:43BOSNikita Zadorov: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:48CBJZach Werenski: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sillinger won the faceoff against Kastelic
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestvan Riemsdyk – Aston-Reese – Fantilli10:38
xG 0.61–0.29 (68%)attempts 12–4goals 0–1
- Monahan – Marchenko – Voronkov11:31
xG 0.76–0.48 (61%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Olivier – Johnson – Sillinger8:27
xG 0.19–0.11 (64%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Pyyhtia – Fantilli2:10
xG 0.01–0.15 (6%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Fabbro17:20
xG 1.53–0.80 (66%)attempts 28–11goals 0–1
- Johnson – Christiansen2:58
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Provorov – Mateychuk12:09
xG 0.27–0.29 (48%)attempts 8–7goals 0–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestMarchand – Coyle – Lindholm10:25
xG 0.59–0.30 (67%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Frederic – Brazeau – Lysell7:47
xG 0.21–0.15 (58%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
- Pastrnak – Zacha – Geekie13:36
xG 0.66–0.79 (46%)attempts 11–13goals 2–0
- Kastelic – Koepke – McLaughlin7:52
xG 0.02–0.65 (3%)attempts 3–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPeeke – Lohrei13:07
xG 0.42–0.25 (63%)attempts 6–12goals 2–0
- Carlo – Wotherspoon14:42
xG 0.16–0.33 (33%)attempts 7–17goals 0–0
- Zadorov – McAvoy13:38
xG 0.64–0.85 (43%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).