Fri, Jan 10, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Los Angeles Kings 2, Winnipeg Jets 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 19 | 07 | 11 | 223 |
| WPG | 04 | 05 | 18 | 02 | 119 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:39LAKAlex TurcotteAssists: Adrian Kempe, Jacob Moverare · Tip-in, 0.04 xG1–0
- P3 10:22WPGMark ScheifelePPAssists: Gabriel Vilardi, Kyle Connor · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- OT 1:14LAKAdrian KempeGWGAssists: Brandt Clarke, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
Penalties (5)
- P1 15:54WPGDylan DeMelo: Hooking2 min
- P2 12:30WPGMark Scheifele: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:47WPGMark Scheifele: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:46LAKMikey Anderson: Interference2 min
- P3 9:58LAKAlex Laferriere: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Lowry
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Laferriere8:59
xG 0.98–0.13 (89%)attempts 13–10goals 0–0
- Lewis – Danault – Jeannot2:06
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Lewis – Fiala – Jeannot2:13
xG 0.00–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Foegele – Moore – Byfield11:38
xG 0.10–0.24 (29%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEnglund – Clarke5:29
xG 0.65–0.23 (74%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Moverare – Clarke3:15
xG 0.33–0.06 (84%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Anderson19:56
xG 0.30–0.15 (67%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestNiederreiter – Lowry – Iafallo11:21
xG 0.36–0.25 (59%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Barron – Kupari – Gustafsson4:36
xG 0.11–0.01 (92%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Namestnikov – Ehlers – Perfetti11:07
xG 0.22–0.45 (32%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Scheifele – Connor – Vilardi16:26
xG 0.10–0.79 (11%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSamberg – Pionk16:50
xG 0.38–0.18 (68%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Stanley – Coghlan12:57
xG 0.17–0.59 (23%)attempts 14–16goals 0–0
- DeMelo – Morrissey17:01
xG 0.26–0.85 (23%)attempts 8–17goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WPG's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WPG is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WPG − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).