Thu, Jan 16, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Nashville Predators 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 09 | 27 | 07 | 03 | 1 | 226 |
| NSH | 15 | 016 | 114 | 06 | 3 | 341 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:07NSHSteven StamkosPPAssists: Roman Josi, Jonathan Marchessault · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P2 6:30CHIConnor BedardAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 7:57CHIAlec MartinezAssists: Seth Jones, Tyler Bertuzzi · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
- P3 16:57NSHFilip ForsbergAssists: Nick Blankenburg · Slap, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. NSH Gustav Nyquist scored
- 2. CHI Teuvo Teravainen scored
- 3. NSH Ryan O'Reilly scored
- 4. CHI Connor Bedard stopped
- 5. NSH Steven Stamkos scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:55CHIIlya Mikheyev: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 8:07CHIPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:07NSHMichael McCarron: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:54CHISeth Jones: High sticking2 min
- P1 14:50CHIRyan Donato: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 0:32CHIAlec Martinez: Interference2 min
- P2 1:54NSHRoman Josi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against O'Reilly
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBertuzzi – Nazar – Bedard10:07
xG 1.01–0.62 (62%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- Foligno – Bertuzzi – Bedard2:07
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Dickinson – Mikheyev8:59
xG 0.12–0.10 (55%)attempts 3–5goals 0–1
- Foligno – Reichel – Dach6:00
xG 0.24–0.57 (29%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Vlasic2:13
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Martinez – Jones19:02
xG 1.03–1.31 (44%)attempts 20–22goals 2–0
- Brodie – Allan10:47
xG 0.15–0.81 (16%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestNovak – L'Heureux – Svechkov6:06
xG 0.81–0.05 (94%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Jankowski – Sissons – McCarron9:28
xG 0.42–0.02 (95%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Nyquist – O'Reilly – L'Heureux2:07
xG 0.39–0.14 (74%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Stamkos – Marchessault – Forsberg11:39
xG 0.50–0.32 (61%)attempts 12–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSchenn – Stastney8:33
xG 1.00–0.34 (75%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Schenn – Skjei3:44
xG 0.44–0.13 (77%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Josi – Barron18:42
xG 0.75–0.47 (61%)attempts 14–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NSH − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).