Thu, Jan 16, 2025·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 5, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 36 | 18 | 17 | 521 |
| VAN | 07 | 19 | 05 | 121 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:51LAKAlex TurcotteAssists: Adrian Kempe · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 9:18LAKAlex TurcotteGWGAssists: Kevin Fiala, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–0
- P1 9:42LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Alex Turcotte, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–0
- P2 14:52VANQuinn HughesAssists: Conor Garland, Filip Hronek · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–1
- P2 15:58LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Trevor Moore, Joel Edmundson · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–1
- P3 11:36LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Quinton Byfield, Brandt Clarke · Backhand, 0.16 xG5–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 1:39LAKTrevor Moore: Holding2 min
- P1 5:06LAKBrandt Clarke: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:19LAKTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:19VANVincent Desharnais: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:03VANVincent Desharnais: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:36LAKQuinton Byfield: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:45LAKKevin Fiala: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:16VANBrock Boeser: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 3:57LAKKyle Burroughs: Cross checking2 min
- P3 12:37VANCarson Soucy: Misconduct10 min
- P3 18:25VANKiefer Sherwood: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Miller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Jeannot – Byfield7:20
xG 0.66–0.02 (96%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore8:12
xG 0.16–0.04 (80%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte10:54
xG 0.45–0.56 (45%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke8:31
xG 0.92–0.08 (92%)attempts 10–6goals 3–0
- Moverare – Spence11:19
xG 0.28–0.16 (64%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Burroughs4:13
xG 0.00–0.22 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHeinen – Garland – Suter8:18
xG 0.42–0.07 (86%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- DeBrusk – Pettersson – Lekkerimäki9:22
xG 0.36–0.23 (61%)attempts 12–7goals 0–1
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser7:10
xG 0.04–0.30 (12%)attempts 7–6goals 0–2
- Blueger – Sherwood – Hoglander10:15
xG 0.16–0.73 (18%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes14:39
xG 0.78–0.26 (75%)attempts 19–12goals 0–2
- Myers – Hughes2:00
xG 0.14–0.07 (68%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Soucy – Hronek2:50
xG 0.01–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).