Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York
Columbus Blue Jackets 0, New York Rangers 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 015 | 05 | 04 | 03 | 0 | 027 |
| NYR | 04 | 012 | 06 | 04 | 1 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. NYR Artemi Panarin stopped
- 2. CBJ Kent Johnson stopped
- 3. NYR Vincent Trocheck scored
- 4. CBJ Adam Fantilli stopped
- 5. NYR Mika Zibanejad stopped
- 6. CBJ Kirill Marchenko stopped
Penalties (3)
- P1 11:06CBJAdam Fantilli: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:31NYRMika Zibanejad: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:36NYRMika Zibanejad: Holding the stick2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fantilli won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestOlivier – Aston-Reese – Del Bel Belluz9:53
xG 0.52–0.07 (88%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Marchenko – Voronkov – Fantilli15:31
xG 0.41–0.50 (45%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Labanc – Pyyhtia8:25
xG 0.10–0.23 (30%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Johnson – Sillinger11:45
xG 0.29–0.51 (36%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestWerenski – Fabbro17:41
xG 0.69–0.29 (70%)attempts 16–14goals 0–0
- Severson – Werenski4:29
xG 0.31–0.11 (73%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
- Severson – Christiansen9:39
xG 0.16–0.31 (34%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestSmith – Zibanejad – Cuylle12:46
xG 0.70–0.31 (70%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Kreider – Panarin – Chytil3:23
xG 0.21–0.05 (82%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Carrick – Edstrom – Rempe4:19
xG 0.08–0.06 (59%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Kreider – Chytil – Kaliyev5:06
xG 0.13–0.16 (44%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBorgen – Miller15:49
xG 0.46–0.32 (59%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren15:58
xG 0.57–0.57 (50%)attempts 17–12goals 0–0
- Vaakanainen – Schneider13:12
xG 0.28–0.35 (44%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).