Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Los Angeles Kings 2, Seattle Kraken 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 28 | 05 | 017 | 230 |
| SEA | 215 | 16 | 11 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:28SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 6:07LAKAdrian KempePPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–1
- P1 7:40SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Matty Beniers, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P1 18:43LAKJordan SpenceAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Moore · Slap, 0.01 xG2–2
- P2 1:37SEAChandler StephensonGWGAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Andre Burakovsky · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–3
- P3 18:50SEAJaden SchwartzENAssists: Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.77 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:56SEAMatty Beniers: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 11:39LAKTanner Jeannot: Tripping2 min
- P1 15:11LAKBrandt Clarke: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:19SEAChandler Stephenson: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:05LAKTrevor Lewis: Kneeing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Beniers
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore12:04
xG 0.54–0.00 (100%)attempts 23–2goals 1–0
- Foegele – Jeannot – Byfield6:57
xG 0.30–0.23 (56%)attempts 9–4goals 0–2
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte11:04
xG 0.17–0.68 (20%)attempts 12–15goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Anderson4:05
xG 0.23–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Gavrikov – Spence7:51
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 16–1goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke8:15
xG 0.27–0.10 (73%)attempts 12–3goals 0–1
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestStephenson – Bjorkstrand – Burakovsky9:37
xG 0.88–0.33 (73%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Kakko – Beniers13:03
xG 0.33–0.14 (69%)attempts 14–16goals 2–1
- Hayden – Stephens – Tanev5:06
xG 0.08–0.01 (91%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Stephenson – Bjorkstrand – Tanev2:21
xG 0.00–0.18 (0%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Dunn15:40
xG 0.75–0.32 (70%)attempts 19–22goals 1–0
- Oleksiak – Mahura11:00
xG 0.21–0.28 (44%)attempts 5–10goals 2–0
- Montour – Evans17:31
xG 0.20–0.61 (24%)attempts 9–23goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SEA − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).