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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 20, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Minnesota Wild 3, Colorado Avalanche 1

Away

Minnesota Wild

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Foligno, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 2:09Shot by Ohgren, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 7:27Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Fleury
  5. P1 8:16Shot by Colton, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 11:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 12:18Goal by Middleton (Ohgren, Gaudreau)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lehkonen, Drouin, Girard, Mittelstadt · MIN Gaudreau, Middleton, Trenin, Faber, Ohgren

  8. P1 12:40Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 14:00Shot by Bogosian, saved by Blackwood
  10. P1 15:21Middleton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Lehkonen, Drouin, Middleton, Mittelstadt · MIN Bogosian, Merrill, Gaudreau, Trenin, Ohgren

  11. P1 16:09Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Blackwood4v5
  12. P1 18:01Colton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Colton, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber

  13. P1 18:41Shot by Rossi, saved by Blackwood4v5
  14. P1 18:44Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood4v5
  15. P1 19:49Shot by Ohgren, saved by Blackwood4v5
  16. P1 19:51Shot by Jiricek, saved by Blackwood4v5
  17. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:11Eriksson Ek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Colton, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber

  20. P2 4:56Lehkonen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · MIN Bogosian, Merrill, Gaudreau, Trenin, Ohgren

  21. P2 6:13Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Blackwood4v5
  22. P2 6:25Shot by Faber, saved by Blackwood4v5
  23. P2 6:30Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Blackwood4v5
  24. P2 6:48Shot by Chisholm, saved by Blackwood4v5
  25. P2 7:29Shot by Colton, saved by Fleury
  26. P2 8:02Eriksson Ek: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Colton, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber

  27. P2 8:46Shot by Makar, saved by Fleury5v4
  28. P2 9:18Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury5v4
  29. P2 9:29Shot by Makar, saved by Fleury5v4
  30. P2 12:24Shot by Faber, saved by Blackwood
  31. P2 12:43Shot by Middleton, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 14:54Shot by Toews, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 15:04Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 15:14Shot by Chisholm, saved by Blackwood
  35. P2 15:18Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 15:42Mittelstadt: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · MIN Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Chisholm, Boldy, Jiricek

  37. P2 16:27Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Blackwood4v5
  38. P2 17:19Shot by Ohgren, saved by Blackwood4v5
  39. P2 18:31Shot by Trenin, saved by Blackwood
  40. P2 18:52Goal by MacKinnon (Girard)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Girard · MIN Shore, Middleton, Trenin, Faber, Khusnutdinov

  41. P2 19:01Shot by Lauko, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 19:48Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 2:08Goal by Trenin (Jiricek, Ohgren)+29 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Manson, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta · MIN Gaudreau, Trenin, Chisholm, Jiricek, Ohgren

  46. P3 2:29Shot by Boldy, saved by Blackwood
  47. P3 3:43Goal by Faber (Hartman, Middleton)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Middleton, Girard, Parssinen, Ivan, Innala · MIN Hartman, Gaudreau, Faber, Jiricek, Ohgren

  48. P3 4:19Shot by Toews, saved by Fleury
  49. P3 5:27Shot by O'Connor, saved by Fleury
  50. P3 5:38Shot by Kelly, saved by Fleury
  51. P3 5:41Eriksson Ek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta · MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Faber

  52. P3 7:54Shot by Innala, saved by Fleury
  53. P3 8:20Shot by Drouin, saved by Fleury
  54. P3 9:39Shot by Hartman, saved by Blackwood
  55. P3 12:29Shot by de Haan, saved by Fleury
  56. P3 13:21Shot by Rantanen, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 14:17Shot by Makar, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 14:52Shot by Colton, saved by Fleury
  59. P3 15:14Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 16:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 16:51Shot by Makar, saved by Fleury6v5
  62. P3 17:39Shot by Drouin, saved by Fleury6v5
  63. P3 17:59Shot by Toews, saved by Fleury6v5
  64. P3 18:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Fleury6v5
  65. P3 18:43Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Fleury6v5
  66. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  67. P3 0:00Final6v5