Sat, Jan 25, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Los Angeles Kings 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 112 | 07 | 113 | 01 | 233 |
| CBJ | 15 | 08 | 17 | 14 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:24CBJZach WerenskiAssists: Luca Del Bel Belluz, Kent Johnson · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–1
- P1 12:55LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–1
- P3 2:51CBJDante FabbroAssists: Damon Severson, James van Riemsdyk · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 18:55LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Alex Laferriere, Kevin Fiala · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–2
- OT 3:45CBJKirill MarchenkoGWGAssists: Ivan Provorov, Justin Danforth · Wrist, 0.31 xG2–3
Penalties (3)
- P2 12:11LAKTrevor Moore: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:09CBJDamon Severson: Interference2 min
- OT 2:10LAKTrevor Moore: Penalty shot slash on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danforth won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Moore – Byfield12:08
xG 1.31–0.31 (81%)attempts 20–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte10:24
xG 1.08–0.79 (58%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- Danault – Fiala – Laferriere10:20
xG 0.70–0.48 (59%)attempts 11–7goals 1–2
- Lewis – Jeannot – Helenius7:47
xG 0.21–0.17 (56%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Anderson20:29
xG 1.54–0.38 (80%)attempts 30–9goals 0–0
- Moverare – Clarke8:23
xG 0.69–0.42 (62%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Edmundson – Spence16:48
xG 1.20–1.10 (52%)attempts 18–20goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- Kuraly – Pyyhtia – Fantilli4:15
xG 0.10–0.11 (47%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Kuraly – Marchenko – Pyyhtia4:40
xG 0.06–0.15 (29%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- van Riemsdyk – Johnson – Del Bel Belluz9:55
xG 0.48–0.71 (40%)attempts 7–11goals 2–1
- Olivier – Danforth – Aston-Reese11:11
xG 0.89–1.12 (44%)attempts 12–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Severson8:09
xG 0.45–0.19 (70%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Werenski – Fabbro18:44
xG 1.19–1.02 (54%)attempts 21–26goals 1–0
- Severson – Christiansen4:15
xG 0.05–0.37 (11%)attempts 1–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).