Mon, Jan 27, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New Jersey Devils 2, Philadelphia Flyers 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 08 | 115 | 110 | 233 |
| PHI | 29 | 111 | 16 | 426 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:04PHIBobby BrinkPPAssists: Rasmus Ristolainen, Travis Konecny · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 11:32PHIJoel FarabeeAssists: Scott Laughton · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–2
- P2 2:49PHIGarnet HathawayGWGAssists: Cam York, Rasmus Ristolainen · Tip-in, 0.05 xG0–3
- P2 18:47NJDDougie HamiltonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 18:38NJDTimo MeierAssists: Jesper Bratt, Jack Hughes · Slap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 19:45PHIScott LaughtonENAssists: Travis Konecny · Wrist, 0.76 xG2–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:50PHIRasmus Ristolainen: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 10:58NJDCurtis Lazar: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 7:24PHINick Seeler: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:24NJDDougie Hamilton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:52NJDLuke Hughes: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:28PHISamuel Ersson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Frost won the faceoff against Lazar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestPalat – Bratt – Hughes9:21
xG 0.23–0.16 (59%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Cotter – Hughes – Halonen2:15
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Dowling – Cotter – Halonen7:26
xG 0.18–0.17 (52%)attempts 10–5goals 0–1
- Tatar – Lazar – Bastian4:54
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamilton – Siegenthaler3:38
xG 0.14–0.08 (64%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic11:19
xG 0.18–0.12 (60%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Dillon – Hamilton7:35
xG 0.07–0.11 (37%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestKonecny – Cates – Foerster2:10
xG 0.20–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Laughton – Farabee – Michkov4:27
xG 0.31–0.16 (67%)attempts 3–7goals 1–0
- Konecny – Tippett – Frost8:09
xG 0.15–0.09 (63%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Laughton – Konecny – Tippett2:46
xG 0.01–0.07 (17%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSanheim – Drysdale15:04
xG 0.61–0.32 (65%)attempts 13–14goals 0–1
- Ristolainen – York13:07
xG 0.51–0.23 (69%)attempts 11–12goals 2–0
- Johnson – Seeler10:55
xG 0.23–0.18 (56%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).