Sat, Feb 1, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Chicago Blackhawks 1, Florida Panthers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 93% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 14 | 012 | 09 | 125 |
| FLA | 222 | 114 | 28 | 544 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:07CHILandon SlaggertAssists: Ryan Donato · Backhand, 0.10 xG1–0
- P1 5:28FLAJonah GadjovichAssists: A.J. Greer, Niko Mikkola · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–1
- P1 10:19FLASam ReinhartGWGAssists: Aleksander Barkov, Aaron Ekblad · Wrist, 0.24 xG1–2
- P2 16:29FLAMatthew TkachukAssists: Sam Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–3
- P3 0:10FLAEvan RodriguesAssists: Anton Lundell · Snap, 0.11 xG1–4
- P3 9:37FLACarter VerhaeghePPAssists: Sam Reinhart, Aleksander Barkov · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:43CHIJason Dickinson: Interference2 min
- P1 5:28CHIRyan Donato: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P1 11:00FLAJonah Gadjovich: Boarding2 min
- P2 3:59FLANiko Mikkola: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:06CHILandon Slaggert: High sticking double minor4 min
- P2 12:38FLAEvan Rodrigues: Holding2 min
- P3 4:56FLAEvan Rodrigues: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:14CHIIlya Mikheyev: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 14:19CHIColton Dach: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Donato won the faceoff against Bennett
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Slaggert – Bedard3:58
xG 0.83–0.09 (90%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Foligno – Bertuzzi – Nazar2:05
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Foligno – Donato – Slaggert3:25
xG 0.10–0.16 (37%)attempts 2–5goals 1–0
- Teravainen – Dickinson – Mikheyev7:18
xG 0.13–0.26 (33%)attempts 4–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Brodie – Vlasic6:47
xG 0.29–0.25 (54%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Martinez – Jones8:08
xG 0.49–0.76 (39%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
- Martinez – Murphy7:20
xG 0.21–0.49 (30%)attempts 5–12goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestVerhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart10:15
xG 1.56–0.18 (90%)attempts 24–6goals 1–0
- Nosek – Greer – Gadjovich8:14
xG 0.71–0.09 (88%)attempts 14–5goals 1–0
- Bennett – Tkachuk – Boqvist9:08
xG 0.96–0.55 (64%)attempts 14–9goals 0–1
- Rodrigues – Luostarinen – Lundell9:15
xG 0.31–0.46 (40%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkblad – Forsling12:00
xG 1.62–0.72 (69%)attempts 28–16goals 1–0
- Kulikov – Mikkola14:59
xG 1.06–0.42 (72%)attempts 23–9goals 2–0
- Schmidt – Balinskis12:01
xG 0.26–0.36 (42%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 93% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).