Wed, Feb 5, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Montréal Canadiens 3, Los Angeles Kings 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 07 | 18 | 26 | 321 |
| LAK | 113 | 110 | 414 | 637 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:39LAKVladislav GavrikovAssists: Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P2 3:51MTLMike MathesonAssists: Cole Caufield, Lane Hutson · Snap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 5:23LAKWarren FoegeleUnassisted · Wrist, 0.23 xG1–2
- P3 0:15LAKBrandt ClarkeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Alex Turcotte · Slap, 0.01 xG1–3
- P3 3:37MTLAlexandre CarrierUnassisted · Wrist, 0.00 xG2–3
- P3 10:46LAKKevin FialaGWGAssists: Alex Laferriere, Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.08 xG2–4
- P3 13:37MTLLogan MaillouxAssists: Alex Newhook, Kirby Dach · Snap, 0.04 xG3–4
- P3 14:12LAKKevin FialaAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.08 xG3–5
- P3 17:30LAKTrevor MooreENAssists: Warren Foegele · Wrist, 0.39 xG3–6
Penalties (6)
- P1 11:28LAKDarcy Kuemper: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:44MTLAlexandre Carrier: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 5:23MTLLogan Mailloux: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway0 min
- P2 6:49LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:36MTLArber Xhekaj: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:30LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Newhook
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- bestAnderson – Dach – Newhook10:37
xG 0.38–0.22 (63%)attempts 11–12goals 2–2
- Gallagher – Dvorak – Beck9:58
xG 0.20–0.34 (38%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Armia – Evans – Laine7:50
xG 0.22–0.43 (34%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
- Suzuki – Caufield – Slafkovský12:48
xG 0.40–0.88 (31%)attempts 13–15goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestCarrier – Hutson14:12
xG 0.39–0.31 (56%)attempts 10–17goals 1–2
- Savard – Matheson3:03
xG 0.04–0.12 (27%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Carrier – Xhekaj3:06
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Byfield – Laferriere12:22
xG 0.82–0.01 (98%)attempts 24–5goals 3–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore9:42
xG 0.98–0.63 (61%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte8:54
xG 0.42–0.17 (71%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Lewis – Jeannot – Thomas7:26
xG 0.02–0.18 (12%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Gavrikov16:42
xG 1.23–0.61 (67%)attempts 17–20goals 2–1
- Moverare – Spence9:16
xG 0.41–0.11 (79%)attempts 15–3goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Spence4:10
xG 0.28–0.01 (97%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).