Fri, Feb 7, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Nashville Predators 2, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 18 | 08 | 117 | 233 |
| CHI | 211 | 310 | 19 | 630 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:37CHIFrank NazarAssists: Alex Vlasic, Teuvo Teravainen · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 8:57NSHColton SissonsAssists: Cole Smith · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 14:54CHIPatrick MaroonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 5:47CHIConnor BedardPPGWGAssists: Ryan Donato, Seth Jones · Slap, 0.09 xG1–3
- P2 15:24CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Frank Nazar · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–4
- P2 19:51CHISeth JonesPPAssists: Ryan Donato, Connor Bedard · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–5
- P3 13:18CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Alex Vlasic · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–6
- P3 18:57NSHTommy NovakAssists: Nick Blankenburg, Jonathan Marchessault · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:00CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:37NSHGustav Nyquist: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:18NSHLuke Schenn: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 19:18CHILandon Slaggert: Fighting5 min
- P2 19:20NSHCole Smith: Interference2 min
- P3 3:38CHITyler Bertuzzi: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:55CHITJ Brodie: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:36NSHMichael McCarron: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00O'Reilly won the faceoff against Foligno
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestStamkos – Nyquist – Svechkov5:33
xG 0.68–0.47 (59%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Sissons – McCarron – Smith4:03
xG 0.42–0.31 (58%)attempts 5–5goals 1–1
- Nyquist – O'Reilly – Kemell2:44
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Sissons – Novak – Kemell4:02
xG 0.08–0.01 (85%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSkjei – Blankenburg11:59
xG 1.05–0.42 (71%)attempts 16–8goals 1–2
- Gravel – Barron5:30
xG 0.57–0.31 (64%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Schenn – Gravel6:32
xG 0.24–0.05 (83%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Slaggert – Bedard10:32
xG 0.67–0.44 (61%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Foligno – Bertuzzi – Kurashev9:40
xG 0.27–0.18 (59%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Mikheyev – Nazar6:18
xG 0.11–0.14 (42%)attempts 5–4goals 1–1
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel8:44
xG 0.60–1.36 (31%)attempts 7–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Vlasic16:03
xG 0.83–0.85 (49%)attempts 13–13goals 2–0
- Jones – Vlasic2:14
xG 0.09–0.14 (39%)attempts 1–4goals 1–0
- Brodie – Del Mastro14:47
xG 0.11–0.41 (22%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).