Sat, Feb 22, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Utah Hockey Club 3, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 16 | 19 | 113 | 328 |
| LAK | 18 | 211 | 27 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:54UTABarrett HaytonPPAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Dylan Guenther · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 8:22LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Kevin Fiala, Joel Edmundson · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 5:50UTABarrett HaytonPPAssists: Nick Schmaltz, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.21 xG2–1
- P2 7:59LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 16:10LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Drew Doughty, Joel Edmundson · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 9:41LAKTrevor LewisGWGAssists: Jordan Spence, Phillip Danault · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–4
- P3 11:00UTABarrett HaytonAssists: Michael Carcone, Sean Durzi · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–4
- P3 18:30LAKMikey AndersonENAssists: Phillip Danault · Wrist, 0.29 xG3–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 7:36LAKQuinton Byfield: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 5:22LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 7:30UTAIan Cole: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 19:58UTAConnor Ingram: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kerfoot won the faceoff against Danault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Utah Hockey Club
Forward lines
- bestKerfoot – Schmaltz – Keller10:45
xG 0.75–0.23 (77%)attempts 13–5goals 0–1
- Crouse – McBain – Doan10:52
xG 0.59–0.23 (72%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
- Carcone – Hayton – Guenther10:05
xG 0.54–0.28 (66%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Bjugstad – O'Brien – Stenlund8:47
xG 0.16–0.49 (25%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMaatta – Durzi17:02
xG 0.93–0.58 (62%)attempts 13–20goals 1–1
- Cole – Kesselring11:07
xG 0.60–0.41 (59%)attempts 14–11goals 0–2
- Marino – Sergachev14:56
xG 0.39–0.46 (46%)attempts 19–16goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Foegele – Moore14:05
xG 0.67–0.48 (58%)attempts 16–19goals 0–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere11:41
xG 0.61–0.43 (59%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Turcotte2:22
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Lewis – Kempe2:05
xG 0.01–0.04 (15%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Moverare – Spence10:31
xG 0.13–0.18 (43%)attempts 6–13goals 1–0
- Gavrikov – Anderson17:57
xG 0.67–0.78 (46%)attempts 16–15goals 0–1
- Doughty – Edmundson17:51
xG 0.72–0.85 (46%)attempts 23–24goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it UTA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − UTA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).