Thu, Mar 13, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Chicago Blackhawks 2, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 28 | 012 | 226 |
| SJS | 210 | 17 | 18 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:48SJSWill SmithAssists: Macklin Celebrini, William Eklund · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 10:16SJSCollin GrafAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 0:10CHIFrank NazarAssists: Wyatt Kaiser, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 10:17SJSCollin GrafPPGWGAssists: Will Smith, Shakir Mukhamadullin · Tip-in, 0.13 xG1–3
- P2 13:18CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Ryan Donato, Teuvo Teravainen · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–3
- P3 19:27SJSTyler ToffoliENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.55 xG2–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 18:06SJSNoah Gregor: Holding2 min
- P2 3:12CHIFrank Nazar: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:27CHIJason Dickinson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:04CHIJason Dickinson: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:04SJSBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P3 9:10CHIConnor Bedard: Abuse of officials10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bedard won the faceoff against Celebrini
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestTeravainen – Donato – Mikheyev9:55
xG 0.56–0.20 (74%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Foligno – Slaggert – Nazar5:40
xG 0.24–0.00 (98%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Dach – Nazar – Bedard3:49
xG 0.10–0.06 (62%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Foligno – Dickinson – Slaggert2:15
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Kaiser13:01
xG 0.84–0.10 (89%)attempts 9–13goals 2–0
- Murphy – Del Mastro14:56
xG 0.45–0.44 (50%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Martinez – Levshunov13:38
xG 0.40–0.45 (47%)attempts 12–14goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestWennberg – Smith – Graf10:38
xG 0.58–0.48 (55%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Goodrow – Gregor – Giles7:03
xG 0.12–0.04 (75%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Gregor – Dellandrea2:20
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Kostin – Dellandrea – Kovalenko5:25
xG 0.00–0.11 (4%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Ferraro – Mukhamadullin17:46
xG 0.53–0.54 (49%)attempts 16–14goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Liljegren14:06
xG 0.39–0.43 (48%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Desharnais – Schuldt13:08
xG 0.42–0.86 (33%)attempts 9–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).