Sat, Mar 15, 2025·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Vancouver Canucks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 05 | 18 | 16 | 219 |
| VAN | 24 | 16 | 35 | 615 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:46VANQuinn HughesAssists: Filip Hronek, Elias Pettersson · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 18:21VANTyler MyersAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Teddy Blueger · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P2 8:08VANConor GarlandGWGAssists: Pius Suter, Nils Hoglander · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–3
- P2 18:51CHIAlex VlasicAssists: Ryan Donato, Teuvo Teravainen · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–3
- P3 4:01VANElias PetterssonAssists: Nils Hoglander · Wrist, 0.43 xG1–4
- P3 5:22CHIWyatt KaiserAssists: Artyom Levshunov, Ryan Donato · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–4
- P3 9:50VANNils AmanAssists: Kiefer Sherwood, Teddy Blueger · Snap, 0.13 xG2–5
- P3 9:58VANPius SuterAssists: Conor Garland, Dakota Joshua · Snap, 0.22 xG2–6
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:52VANVictor Mancini: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:08VANArturs Silovs: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 4:01CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:23VANTyler Myers: Roughing2 min
- P3 4:29CHIConnor Bedard: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:05CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:05VANConor Garland: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:21CHIConnor Bedard: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:21CHIFrank Nazar: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:21VANFilip Hronek: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:21VANConor Garland: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Blueger
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Dickinson – Slaggert9:58
xG 0.26–0.16 (61%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Bertuzzi – Veleno – Reichel6:39
xG 0.07–0.12 (36%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
- Teravainen – Donato – Mikheyev9:50
xG 0.51–0.73 (41%)attempts 13–5goals 1–2
- Dach – Nazar – Bedard9:57
xG 0.42–0.72 (37%)attempts 14–9goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Kaiser13:17
xG 0.54–0.12 (82%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Kaiser – Levshunov3:44
xG 0.11–0.01 (90%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
- Martinez – Levshunov3:18
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestDeBrusk – Pettersson – Hoglander7:09
xG 0.45–0.17 (73%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Blueger – Sherwood – Aman10:54
xG 0.43–0.28 (61%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Joshua – Garland – Suter6:56
xG 0.22–0.10 (69%)attempts 4–11goals 1–0
- Boeser – DeBrusk – Pettersson2:08
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes15:11
xG 0.53–0.18 (74%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Myers – Pettersson15:00
xG 0.61–0.43 (59%)attempts 17–15goals 2–1
- Forbort – Mancini12:11
xG 0.37–0.54 (41%)attempts 8–20goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).