Tue, Mar 18, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Seattle Kraken 6, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 19 | 413 | 18 | 630 |
| CHI | 215 | 06 | 08 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:46CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Artyom Levshunov, Tyler Bertuzzi · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 17:13CHITyler BertuzziAssists: Alex Vlasic, Lukas Reichel · Deflected, 0.03 xG0–2
- P1 17:44SEAAdam LarssonAssists: Matty Beniers, Jaden Schwartz · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 5:55SEAJordan EberleAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Jamie Oleksiak · Snap, 0.10 xG2–2
- P2 6:21SEAJared McCannGWGAssists: Andre Burakovsky · Snap, 0.06 xG3–2
- P2 12:53SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Adam Larsson, Vince Dunn · Snap, 0.14 xG4–2
- P2 15:13SEAShane WrightAssists: Michael Eyssimont, Brandon Montour · Backhand, 0.16 xG5–2
- P3 6:55SEAShane WrightAssists: Adam Larsson, Andre Burakovsky · Slap, 0.13 xG6–2
Penalties (4)
- P1 0:04SEAJohn Hayden: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 0:04CHIPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:15SEAMichael Eyssimont: High sticking2 min
- P1 18:31CHIEthan Del Mastro: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Wright
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestHayden – Eyssimont – Wright8:19
xG 0.84–0.19 (81%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Eberle – Stephenson – Tolvanen11:15
xG 0.70–0.43 (62%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Schwartz – Kakko – Beniers12:12
xG 0.60–0.45 (57%)attempts 15–11goals 2–1
- Burakovsky – McCann – Nyman9:47
xG 0.19–0.28 (41%)attempts 5–6goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Montour16:53
xG 1.27–0.41 (75%)attempts 22–7goals 2–0
- Mahura – Evans14:41
xG 0.25–0.24 (51%)attempts 6–11goals 1–0
- Larsson – Oleksiak2:34
xG 0.00–0.20 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Slaggert – Dach11:32
xG 1.81–0.26 (87%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Donato – Nazar – Bedard10:21
xG 0.39–0.31 (56%)attempts 9–8goals 0–2
- Dickinson – Nazar – Bedard2:10
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Donato – Mikheyev2:27
xG 0.00–0.14 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Martinez – Kaiser12:38
xG 0.40–0.53 (43%)attempts 10–10goals 0–1
- Vlasic – Levshunov16:59
xG 0.34–0.73 (32%)attempts 10–16goals 1–3
- Murphy – Del Mastro17:36
xG 0.70–1.20 (37%)attempts 16–20goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).