Thu, Mar 20, 2025·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 3, Chicago Blackhawks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 219 | 08 | 16 | 333 |
| CHI | 07 | 15 | 05 | 117 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:45LAKTrevor MooreUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 9:44LAKAlex TurcotteGWGAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Jordan Spence · Tip-in, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 10:50CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi, Teuvo Teravainen · Slap, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 19:41LAKJoel EdmundsonENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.33 xG3–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:33LAKAlex Laferriere: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:37CHIAlex Vlasic: Interference2 min
- P2 9:10LAKVladislav Gavrikov: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 14:41LAKAlex Turcotte: Tripping2 min
- P2 15:03CHIArtyom Levshunov: Slashing2 min
- P3 3:35LAKAlex Turcotte: Interference goalkeeper2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nazar won the faceoff against Byfield
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Foegele – Moore9:00
xG 1.06–0.54 (66%)attempts 17–8goals 1–0
- Jeannot – Turcotte – Helenius5:52
xG 0.52–0.03 (94%)attempts 16–2goals 1–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere11:59
xG 0.43–0.06 (87%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko11:53
xG 0.22–0.13 (64%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Spence12:42
xG 1.02–0.34 (75%)attempts 18–4goals 1–0
- Doughty – Anderson16:19
xG 0.68–0.29 (70%)attempts 13–16goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke12:30
xG 0.56–0.23 (71%)attempts 16–5goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Foligno – Slaggert – Dach5:32
xG 0.17–0.29 (36%)attempts 4–6goals 0–1
- Bertuzzi – Veleno – Reichel3:12
xG 0.00–0.30 (0%)attempts 0–10goals 0–1
- Teravainen – Donato – Mikheyev9:57
xG 0.13–0.47 (22%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
- Dickinson – Nazar – Bedard9:15
xG 0.12–0.65 (15%)attempts 4–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Murphy – Del Mastro13:16
xG 0.23–0.38 (38%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Kaiser – Del Mastro2:00
xG 0.00–0.19 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Kaiser15:18
xG 0.32–0.58 (36%)attempts 11–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).