Thu, Mar 20, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Boston Bruins 1, Vegas Golden Knights 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 07 | 04 | 18 | 119 |
| VGK | 011 | 210 | 311 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 9:19VGKPavel DorofeyevPPAssists: Jack Eichel, Noah Hanifin · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–1
- P2 19:10VGKPavel DorofeyevGWGAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Brandon Saad · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–2
- P3 5:47VGKBrett HowdenAssists: William Karlsson · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–3
- P3 10:21VGKPavel DorofeyevAssists: Brandon Saad, Noah Hanifin · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–4
- P3 14:24VGKIvan BarbashevAssists: Jack Eichel · Snap, 0.17 xG0–5
- P3 17:49BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Pavel Zacha, David Pastrnak · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 6:49VGKMark Stone: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:15BOSNikita Zadorov: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 11:51BOSJohn Beecher: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:38BOSPatrick Brown: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zacha won the faceoff against Eichel
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Brown – Kastelic – Koepke3:56
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Lettieri – Lauko – Beecher2:45
xG 0.07–0.11 (41%)attempts 3–2goals 0–1
- Brown – Kastelic – Beecher4:12
xG 0.05–0.13 (28%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Lettieri – Mittelstadt – Koepke4:38
xG 0.11–0.21 (36%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Wotherspoon – Mitchell12:24
xG 0.43–0.50 (46%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Peeke – Lohrei14:26
xG 0.21–0.52 (29%)attempts 10–11goals 0–2
- Zadorov – Jokiharju17:55
xG 0.63–1.01 (38%)attempts 14–19goals 1–1
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestSaad – Hertl – Dorofeyev9:16
xG 0.65–0.26 (71%)attempts 12–7goals 2–0
- Pearson – Kolesar – Roy6:22
xG 0.24–0.02 (92%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Roy5:49
xG 0.22–0.05 (81%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Smith – Karlsson – Howden4:12
xG 0.17–0.13 (56%)attempts 4–4goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMcNabb – Korczak16:26
xG 0.65–0.27 (70%)attempts 13–10goals 1–1
- Hanifin – Whitecloud16:25
xG 0.60–0.39 (61%)attempts 16–11goals 1–0
- Pietrangelo – Hague16:28
xG 0.82–0.63 (56%)attempts 14–17goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VGK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VGK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VGK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).