Sat, Mar 22, 2025·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 1, St. Louis Blues 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 06 | 113 | 08 | 127 |
| STL | 05 | 213 | 27 | 425 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:13STLRobert ThomasAssists: Dylan Holloway, Jordan Kyrou · Bat, 0.20 xG0–1
- P2 17:20STLAlexey ToropchenkoGWGAssists: Radek Faksa, Nathan Walker · Snap, 0.31 xG0–2
- P2 19:06CHIIlya MikheyevSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 1:12STLNathan WalkerAssists: Alexey Toropchenko, Justin Faulk · Snap, 0.21 xG1–3
- P3 7:43STLZachary BolducAssists: Philip Broberg, Brayden Schenn · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 15:03CHIJason Dickinson: Instigator2 min
- P1 15:03CHIJason Dickinson: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:03STLJake Neighbours: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:03CHIJason Dickinson: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 18:45CHITyler Bertuzzi: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:59CHIPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:59STLTyler Tucker: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Faksa won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Nazar – Bedard2:53
xG 0.76–0.04 (95%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Donato – Veleno9:52
xG 0.34–0.09 (79%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Veleno – Bedard2:28
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Maroon – Reichel – Slaggert5:24
xG 0.23–0.02 (91%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Del Mastro6:29
xG 0.74–0.47 (61%)attempts 9–8goals 0–1
- Murphy – Del Mastro9:39
xG 0.57–0.42 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Kaiser6:35
xG 0.17–0.15 (54%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestKyrou – Thomas – Holloway5:14
xG 0.68–0.08 (89%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Faksa – Walker – Toropchenko9:41
xG 0.59–0.13 (82%)attempts 10–4goals 2–0
- Thomas – Neighbours – Bolduc6:21
xG 0.46–0.24 (66%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Schenn – Neighbours – Bolduc3:46
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestLeddy – Fowler15:14
xG 1.15–0.64 (64%)attempts 14–14goals 2–0
- Faulk – Broberg18:10
xG 0.64–0.59 (52%)attempts 14–11goals 1–0
- Suter – Tucker15:57
xG 0.48–0.62 (43%)attempts 7–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).