Mon, Mar 24, 2025·Prudential Center, Newark
Vancouver Canucks 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 15 | 06 | 214 | 03 | 2 | 428 |
| NJD | 07 | 15 | 29 | 04 | 1 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:09VANPius SuterAssists: Marcus Pettersson · Snap, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 10:24NJDTimo MeierPPAssists: Dawson Mercer, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–1
- P3 11:02NJDTimo MeierAssists: Brenden Dillon, Nico Hischier · Snap, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 11:47VANJonathan LekkerimäkiAssists: Derek Forbort, Nils Aman · Snap, 0.23 xG2–2
- P3 13:25NJDErik HaulaAssists: Brian Dumoulin · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–3
- P3 19:24VANConor GarlandAssists: Pius Suter, Jake DeBrusk · Deflected, 0.23 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. NJD Paul Cotter stopped
- 2. VAN Jake DeBrusk scored
- 3. NJD Jesper Bratt scored
- 4. VAN Conor Garland stopped
- 5. NJD Timo Meier stopped
- 6. VAN Pius Suter stopped
- 7. NJD Luke Hughes stopped
- 8. VAN Jonathan Lekkerimäki scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 13:45NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:59VANLinus Karlsson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 9:39VANTeddy Blueger: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:39NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:25NJDJohnathan Kovacevic: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:25VANDerek Forbort: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Suter
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSherwood – O'Connor – Räty6:21
xG 0.59–0.18 (77%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Blueger – Garland – Lekkerimäki4:59
xG 0.04–0.01 (87%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Blueger – Garland – O'Connor4:40
xG 0.16–0.12 (57%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Joshua – Sherwood – Räty3:04
xG 0.00–0.13 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Forbort2:51
xG 0.19–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Hronek – Hughes16:54
xG 1.08–0.90 (54%)attempts 21–17goals 0–1
- Myers – Pettersson13:08
xG 0.24–0.23 (51%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Palat – Mercer7:39
xG 0.68–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–0goals 0–0
- Dowling – Cotter – Foote5:40
xG 0.31–0.33 (48%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Haula – Meier – Hischier11:13
xG 0.55–0.70 (44%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Noesen – Bratt – Glass10:50
xG 0.16–0.69 (19%)attempts 5–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDumoulin – Kovacevic14:02
xG 1.09–0.33 (77%)attempts 18–9goals 1–0
- Dillon – Cholowski10:53
xG 0.23–0.65 (26%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
- Pesce – Hughes14:59
xG 0.22–1.14 (16%)attempts 10–17goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).