Tue, Mar 25, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
New York Rangers 1, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 02 | 114 | 07 | 123 |
| LAK | 08 | 211 | 114 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:10NYRJ.T. MillerAssists: Alexis Lafrenière, Braden Schneider · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–0
- P2 10:54LAKKevin FialaPPAssists: Andrei Kuzmenko, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.17 xG1–1
- P2 17:48LAKPhillip DanaultPPGWGAssists: Trevor Moore, Warren Foegele · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–2
- P3 19:45LAKKevin FialaENUnassisted · Backhand, 0.72 xG1–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 12:47LAKAndrei Kuzmenko: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:55NYRZac Jones: Holding2 min
- P2 9:42NYRMatt Rempe: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 15:33NYRMatt Rempe: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P2 15:33LAKTanner Jeannot: Fighting5 min
- P2 16:26NYRK'Andre Miller: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:17LAKJoel Edmundson: Interference2 min
- P2 19:11NYRAdam Fox: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:25LAKAdrian Kempe: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Othmann10:41
xG 0.38–0.31 (55%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Kreider – Zibanejad – Cuylle10:07
xG 0.19–0.27 (42%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Miller – Brodzinski – Lafrenière10:32
xG 0.33–0.59 (36%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Aube-Kubel – Parssinen – Rempe4:42
xG 0.02–0.84 (2%)attempts 3–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Schneider11:25
xG 0.91–0.69 (57%)attempts 15–7goals 1–0
- Soucy – Fox13:31
xG 0.38–0.65 (37%)attempts 10–18goals 0–0
- Borgen – Miller13:01
xG 0.07–0.87 (8%)attempts 11–18goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Foegele – Moore10:06
xG 0.77–0.40 (65%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Helenius6:06
xG 0.27–0.02 (94%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko10:35
xG 0.44–0.29 (60%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere10:23
xG 0.29–0.45 (39%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Spence10:58
xG 0.83–0.36 (69%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke11:30
xG 0.79–0.40 (66%)attempts 15–8goals 0–1
- Edmundson – Gavrikov4:59
xG 0.13–0.04 (78%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 84% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).