Wed, Mar 26, 2025·United Center, Chicago
New Jersey Devils 5, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 27 | 27 | 17 | 521 |
| CHI | 15 | 16 | 113 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:23NJDNathan BastianAssists: Luke Hughes, Tomas Tatar · Snap, 0.31 xG1–0
- P1 6:50NJDDawson MercerPPAssists: Luke Hughes, Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–0
- P1 9:06CHITyler BertuzziPPAssists: Ryan Donato, Artyom Levshunov · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 3:14NJDOndrej PalatSHAssists: Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–1
- P2 5:26CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Nick Foligno · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–2
- P2 11:01NJDDawson MercerPPGWGAssists: Luke Hughes, Jesper Bratt · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–2
- P3 17:10CHIFrank NazarAssists: Ryan Donato, Artyom Levshunov · Snap, 0.27 xG4–3
- P3 19:47NJDStefan NoesenENAssists: Nico Hischier · Wrist, 0.77 xG5–3
Penalties (4)
- P1 6:45CHIPatrick Maroon: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 8:59NJDSimon Nemec: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 1:46NJDErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P2 10:37CHILandon Slaggert: Roughing2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hischier won the faceoff against Foligno
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Lazar – Bastian9:40
xG 0.36–0.01 (96%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Dowling – Noesen – Cotter9:38
xG 0.23–0.11 (67%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Palat – Meier – Hischier12:57
xG 0.26–0.26 (50%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
- Haula – Bratt – Mercer11:10
xG 0.29–0.29 (49%)attempts 17–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPesce – Hughes16:22
xG 0.81–0.34 (70%)attempts 21–9goals 1–0
- Dumoulin – Kovacevic17:58
xG 0.38–0.18 (68%)attempts 10–14goals 0–0
- Dillon – Kovacevic2:23
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Teravainen – Mikheyev10:23
xG 0.25–0.16 (60%)attempts 9–4goals 1–0
- Donato – Nazar – Bedard14:05
xG 0.30–0.49 (38%)attempts 11–20goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Kurashev – Veleno8:15
xG 0.02–0.24 (10%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Maroon – Reichel – Slaggert6:41
xG 0.10–0.35 (21%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestCrevier – Del Mastro2:12
xG 0.12–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 1–0
- Murphy – Vlasic3:04
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Vlasic – Crevier8:13
xG 0.15–0.14 (51%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).