Wed, Apr 2, 2025·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Seattle Kraken 5, Vancouver Canucks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 17 | 27 | 25 | 519 |
| VAN | 09 | 07 | 08 | 024 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:42SEAMichael EyssimontGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P2 9:49SEAChandler StephensonAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 16:00SEAShane WrightAssists: Jared McCann, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–0
- P3 8:55SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Jared McCann · Wrist, 0.22 xG4–0
- P3 16:24SEAAdam LarssonENAssists: Tye Kartye, Vince Dunn · Wrist, 0.68 xG5–0
Penalties (10)
- P1 1:55SEAJamie Oleksiak: Holding2 min
- P1 5:00SEAMichael Eyssimont: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:56VANTeddy Blueger: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 2:31VANDerek Forbort: Slashing2 min
- P2 11:01SEAMichael Eyssimont: Hooking2 min
- P2 13:47SEABrandon Montour: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:47VANDakota Joshua: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P3 5:28VANElias Pettersson: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:28SEAJani Nyman: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:03VANDakota Joshua: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wright won the faceoff against Räty
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Stephenson – Winterton6:42
xG 0.18–0.10 (64%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Hayden – Eyssimont – Kartye3:55
xG 0.33–0.30 (53%)attempts 6–4goals 1–0
- Kakko – Beniers – Nyman9:17
xG 0.07–0.18 (29%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – McCann – Wright7:04
xG 0.26–0.43 (38%)attempts 4–14goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Fleury11:21
xG 0.74–0.08 (90%)attempts 14–8goals 2–0
- Larsson – Dunn13:11
xG 0.37–0.57 (40%)attempts 9–15goals 2–0
- Montour – Evans13:23
xG 0.32–0.75 (30%)attempts 7–19goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBoeser – DeBrusk – Suter8:13
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Karlsson – Aman – Lekkerimäki7:07
xG 0.40–0.15 (73%)attempts 8–5goals 0–1
- Blueger – Garland – O'Connor7:49
xG 0.15–0.31 (33%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Joshua – Sherwood – Räty7:31
xG 0.45–0.69 (39%)attempts 10–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Pettersson2:48
xG 0.50–0.10 (83%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Pettersson3:30
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Myers – Hughes2:01
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).