Mon, Apr 7, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Seattle Kraken 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 28 | 012 | 08 | 228 |
| LAK | 111 | 07 | 011 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:48LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Kyle Burroughs, Alex Laferriere · Backhand, 0.20 xG0–1
- P1 18:35SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Kaapo Kakko · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–1
- P1 19:29SEABrandon MontourGWGAssists: Jordan Eberle, Chandler Stephenson · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
Penalties (6)
- P1 3:04LAKBrandt Clarke: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:20SEAJosh Mahura: High sticking2 min
- P1 11:29SEAAdam Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:08SEAJared McCann: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:08LAKBrandt Clarke: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:35SEAJordan Eberle: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Stephenson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestTolvanen – Kakko – Beniers8:47
xG 0.55–0.25 (69%)attempts 9–10goals 1–0
- Hayden – Eyssimont – Kartye5:51
xG 0.27–0.17 (61%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – McCann – Wright7:26
xG 0.19–0.47 (29%)attempts 4–15goals 0–1
- Eberle – Schwartz – Stephenson11:08
xG 0.28–0.57 (33%)attempts 9–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Montour – Dunn3:20
xG 0.09–0.07 (57%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Oleksiak – Montour13:46
xG 0.66–0.75 (47%)attempts 9–20goals 1–1
- Mahura – Fleury11:57
xG 0.31–0.40 (44%)attempts 9–16goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Byfield – Laferriere12:47
xG 0.52–0.35 (60%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore11:11
xG 0.65–0.47 (58%)attempts 19–8goals 0–0
- Lewis – Malott – Helenius3:36
xG 0.09–0.03 (77%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko6:32
xG 0.11–0.13 (46%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Clarke15:41
xG 0.51–0.26 (66%)attempts 15–11goals 0–0
- Burroughs – Moverare7:18
xG 0.46–0.37 (55%)attempts 11–5goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Spence16:49
xG 0.60–0.95 (39%)attempts 24–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).