Sat, Apr 12, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
New York Islanders 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 012 | 214 | 111 | 03 | 0 | 340 |
| PHI | 08 | 14 | 29 | 01 | 1 | 422 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 3:28PHITyson FoersterPPAssists: Sean Couturier, Matvei Michkov · Backhand, 0.15 xG0–1
- P2 10:54NYIAnders LeePPAssists: Noah Dobson, Tony DeAngelo · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 17:58NYINoah DobsonAssists: Bo Horvat, Scott Mayfield · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P3 4:29PHIJakob PelletierAssists: Owen Tippett, Ryan Poehling · Backhand, 0.15 xG2–2
- P3 10:34PHITyson FoersterAssists: Owen Tippett, Noah Cates · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 18:59NYIBo HorvatAssists: Tony DeAngelo, Anders Lee · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
- 2. NYI Bo Horvat stopped
- 3. PHI Matvei Michkov stopped
- 4. NYI Maxim Tsyplakov stopped
- 5. PHI Tyson Foerster stopped
- 6. NYI Simon Holmstrom stopped
- 7. PHI Owen Tippett stopped
- 8. NYI Tony DeAngelo stopped
- 9. PHI Bobby Brink scored
- 10. NYI Kyle Palmieri stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 9:06PHIJamie Drysdale: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:09NYIAnders Lee: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:32PHIJamie Drysdale: Slashing2 min
- P2 3:08NYINoah Dobson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:59PHICam York: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:20PHITravis Sanheim: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:16NYIMaxim Tsyplakov: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:32NYIAdam Pelech: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cizikas won the faceoff against Poehling
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).