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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 12, 2025·United Center, Chicago

Winnipeg Jets 5, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)

Away

Winnipeg Jets

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 62% of the time.

CHI winsWPG wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
WPG09213214062542
CHI24013214011432

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 10:40CHINick FolignoSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
  2. P1 13:21CHIConnor BedardPPAssists: Sam Rinzel, Frank Nazar · Slap, 0.11 xG0–2
  3. P2 11:15WPGNino NiederreiterPPAssists: Dylan Samberg, Neal Pionk · Snap, 0.07 xG1–2
  4. P2 16:03WPGKyle ConnorAssists: Alex Iafallo · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
  5. P3 2:08WPGJosh MorrisseyAssists: Vladislav Namestnikov, Cole Perfetti · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
  6. P3 10:53CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Connor Bedard, Alex Vlasic · Slap, 0.02 xG3–3
  7. P3 14:05CHIFrank NazarAssists: Tyler Bertuzzi, Artyom Levshunov · Slap, 0.22 xG3–4
  8. P3 16:13WPGJosh MorrisseyAssists: Dylan DeMelo, Kyle Connor · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–4

Shootout

  1. 1. CHI Ryan Donato stopped
  2. 2. WPG Mark Scheifele stopped
  3. 3. CHI Connor Bedard scored
  4. 4. WPG Kyle Connor scored
  5. 5. CHI Teuvo Teravainen stopped
  6. 6. WPG Cole Perfetti scored
Penalties (4)
  1. P1 9:16CHIJoseph Veleno: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 12:16WPGJaret Anderson-Dolan: Holding2 min · PPG
  3. P2 9:16CHIConnor Murphy: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
  4. P3 6:42WPGDylan Samberg: Interference2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

WPG00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← WPG attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Scheifele won the faceoff against Veleno
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

WPGCHI
42Shots on goal32
4.5Expected goals3.6
76Shot attempts49
28Faceoffs won28
2Power plays2
4Penalty minutes4
28Hits16
7Blocked shots14
17Giveaways14
7Takeaways3

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 3.6 xGWPG 4.5 xG
012345P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHIWPG

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.

Excitement 97/100 · #35 of 1312 this seasonSwing 2.81 · 8 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 9% (winner's lowest chance)
WPG 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +36 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 62% of the time.

CHI winsWPG wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).