Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 12, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

St. Louis Blues 3, Seattle Kraken 4 (SO)

Away

St. Louis Blues

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Seattle Kraken

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 53% of the time.

SEA winsSTL wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
STL0309311002323
SEA061525023418

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 3:44SEAJaden SchwartzAssists: Jordan Eberle · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
  2. P3 1:06STLRadek FaksaAssists: Nathan Walker, Nick Leddy · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–1
  3. P3 6:44SEAMichael EyssimontAssists: Tye Kartye · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
  4. P3 7:21STLColton ParaykoAssists: Robert Thomas, Jordan Kyrou · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–2
  5. P3 7:34STLNick LeddyAssists: Zachary Bolduc, Mathieu Joseph · Slap, 0.06 xG3–2
  6. P3 9:53SEAShane WrightAssists: Jamie Oleksiak, Tye Kartye · Deflected, 0.18 xG3–3

Shootout

  1. 1. SEA Eeli Tolvanen scored
  2. 2. STL Jake Neighbours scored
  3. 3. SEA Jordan Eberle stopped
  4. 4. STL Robert Thomas scored
  5. 5. SEA Kaapo Kakko scored
  6. 6. STL Brayden Schenn stopped
  7. 7. SEA Matty Beniers stopped
  8. 8. STL Zachary Bolduc stopped
  9. 9. SEA Shane Wright stopped
  10. 10. STL Pavel Buchnevich stopped
  11. 11. SEA Jared McCann stopped
  12. 12. STL Jordan Kyrou stopped
  13. 13. SEA Chandler Stephenson scored
  14. 14. STL Jimmy Snuggerud stopped
Penalties (3)
  1. P1 7:58STLMathieu Joseph: Hooking2 min
  2. P2 5:56STLJordan Kyrou: Tripping2 min
  3. P2 15:28SEARyker Evans: Holding the stick2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

STL00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0SEA
43% to win57% to win
← STL attackSEA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Sundqvist won the faceoff against Stephenson
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

STLSEA
23Shots on goal18
2.0Expected goals1.8
54Shot attempts48
26Faceoffs won25
1Power plays2
4Penalty minutes2
25Hits18
15Blocked shots19
8Giveaways20
4Takeaways5

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

SEA 1.8 xGSTL 2.0 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

SEASTL

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

SEA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SEA is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.

Excitement 87/100 · #171 of 1312 this seasonSwing 2.34 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 20% (winner's lowest chance)
STL 100%5050%50SEA 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +35 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 53% of the time.

SEA winsSTL wins

Simulated goal difference (SEA − STL), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).